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Tracking poll: Gore holds onto lead, crosses 50% for first time

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- Vice President Al Gore has crept across the 50 percent mark for the first time over Texas Gov. George W. Bush in the latest CNN/USA Today/Gallup tracking poll, with Ralph Nader and Pat Buchanan remaining in single digits.

 

Interviews with 657 likely voters for the tracking poll, conducted September 18-20, show Gore drawing 51 percent of the vote to Bush's 41 percent, a margin of 10 points.

The new numbers reflect only a one-day change of two to three points in each candidate's support since the start of the week -- well within the margin of error for the poll. But Gore has never won more than 50 percent of the vote in any of CNN's two-way, three-way, or four-way match-ups among likely voters or registered voters dating back to March 1998.

Gore's lead in Thursday's tracking poll is beyond the margin of sampling error. The key question is whether Gore can sustain a statistically significant lead while winning a majority of likely voters in the coming days, or whether the race will again become a close one -- as has happened before.

CNN will be releasing the results on its tracking polls every day until the November 7 elections. The polls monitor public opinion of the presidential race over intervals of two to three days.

CNN/USA TODAY/GALLUP POLL

September 18-20

Likely voters' choice for president


Gore      51%

Bush      41 

Nader      3

Buchanan   1

Sampling error: +/-4 percent pts


COMPLETE TRACKING TREND ON HORSE RACE

 
EUROPE'S VIEW
Where do Bush and Gore stand on issues of importance to Europe? Launch our Interactive Guide.

POLLS
View the latest tracking poll or dig into our poll archives.

WHAT'S AT STAKE

VIDEO
Watch selected policy speeches and campaign commercials from the major presidential candidates.

WHERE THEY STAND
See where George W. Bush and Al Gore stand on the major issues.

THE STATES
Who are your elected officials? What is the past presidential vote and number of electoral votes in your state? What are the presidential primary results and exit polls? Find out with these state political and election facts.

ELECTION GUIDE
Get Election 2000 zip code searchable candidate biographies and other material for races for governor, Senate and House in our Election Guide.

FOLLOW THE MONEY
How much money have the candidates raised? Here are their quarterly reports to the Federal Election Commission.

RACES
If you need to know who's up in 2000 and what seats are open, launch this quick guide.

WEB WHITE AND BLUE
Allpolitics.com is a partner in the Web White and Blue rolling cyber-debate, a daily online exchange among the major presidential candidates. Look for twice-daily updates Sunday through Friday until election day.


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Thursday, September 21, 2000


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