Skip to main content

Disarming the streets to rebuild Libya

By John Defterios, CNN
October 1, 2012 -- Updated 1536 GMT (2336 HKT)
STORY HIGHLIGHTS
  • Libya's Prime Minister Mustafa Abu Shagour has called for militias to disband, and they are doing so in droves
  • Libyans are turning in rifles, pistols, and rocket propelled grenade launchers
  • It sends a strong message to the world as the government tries to normalize the economy
  • Libya has 6.7M people, $120B in cash reserves and sits on top of the largest oil reserves in Africa

Editor's note: John Defterios is CNN's emerging markets editor and anchor of Global Exchange, CNN's business show focused on the emerging and BRIC markets. Watch it at 0300 pm GMT and 0500 pm CET, Sunday to Thursday.

Abu Dhabi (CNN) -- At first glance of the television screen, it looks to me like a normal scene from a Middle Eastern open air market or souk.

But I pause, look more closely and it is anything but normal. You see Libyans lining up from Benghazi to Tripoli to turn in rifles, pistols, and rocket propelled grenade launchers. There are reports that the keys of a tank were handed back as well.

One week after a call from the new prime minister Mustafa Abu Shagour for militias to disband, they are doing so in droves. The North African country is trying to stabilize after the attacks on the U.S. consulate compound in Benghazi that killed ambassador J. Christopher Stevens and three other U.S. embassy staffers.

U.S. intelligence now believes consulate attack was terror assault

The situation is so precarious that U.S. investigators have not been guaranteed their safety to review evidence of their murders at the consulate. This call to clean up the streets is coming from the grass root level. Libyans seem fed up and are calling on the government to do even more.

The future of Libya's oil

Florence Eid, the CEO of London based Arabia Monitor, says disarming the militias was essential. "It is quite impressive that the prime minister, having hardly formed his cabinet, decided to make amongst his first big decisions the most difficult decision."

MENA struggles with youth unemployment

The move also sends a strong message to the outside world as the government tries to normalize the economy.

Libya is working from a flush economic base. The country of just 6.7 million people has $120 billion in cash reserves and sits on top of the largest oil reserves in Africa, at 47 billion barrels, according to BP's Statistical Review of World Energy.

Analysis: Libyan militias wait for another day

The new government has set a goal of increasing oil production from the current 1.4 million barrels a day to just below 2 million by 2015.

While the government moves to rid the streets of arms, experts say it now needs to move with alacrity to amend terms for energy sector contracts.

Fereidun Fesharaki, Chairman of FACTS Global Energy, says "Gadhafi rules" still apply in the oil fields with international energy companies getting a maximum of 10% on production sharing agreements.

"If they want to see more production all the laws need to be changed," said Fesharaki.

That is a position echoed by Eid, of Arabia Monitor, for overall commercial and investment laws. Investors are eager to jump back in to fill what she says is a $200 billion infrastructure deficit for power stations, roads, sewage systems and the like.

A general's warning about militants in Libya

Prior to the overthrow of the Moammar Gadhafi, Libya offered regional investors a high growth opportunity. After over four decades in power, Gadhafi was just starting to build the infrastructure worthy of a country flush with record oil revenues.

While it amends energy sector and investment laws, outside investors are also eager to see how the constitution writing process will unfold as well. How much autonomy will be afforded to certain tribal regions and how the Libyan Investment Authority -- the country's sovereign fund very much in the tight grip of Gadhafi and his sons -- will be managed in the future are essential questions still to be answered.

After seeing the economy collapse by 60% of GDP during the overthrow and the ensuing chaos, Arabia Monitor is earmarking growth of 116% this year and a still rapid 16.5% in 2013.

That is if the security situation stabilizes and Libyans continue to rid their own streets of what can be called weapons of self destruction.

ADVERTISEMENT
Part of complete coverage on
May 7, 2013 -- Updated 0224 GMT (1024 HKT)
From Qatar to Egypt, people across the region are turning to comedy to laugh through the tough times.
May 9, 2013 -- Updated 0300 GMT (1100 HKT)
If Facebook is the ultimate popularity test, then the most famous art institute on the planet is not in Paris, New York or London.
May 8, 2013 -- Updated 0735 GMT (1535 HKT)
Museums and galleries are making an ambitious mark on the Middle East's cultural landscape.
May 3, 2013 -- Updated 0550 GMT (1350 HKT)
Artist Natiq al Alousi has no regrets sculpting the former Iraqi dictator. 'Only the best work for presidents.'
April 23, 2013 -- Updated 1013 GMT (1813 HKT)
A mysterious, circular structure, with a diameter greater than the length of a 747 jet, was found in the Sea of Galilee in Israel.
April 16, 2013 -- Updated 0112 GMT (0912 HKT)
Billionaire Saudi Prince Alwaleed bin Talal has tweeted support for giving women the right to drive in Saudi Arabia.
April 16, 2013 -- Updated 0411 GMT (1211 HKT)
Iran's political cartoonists have been celebrated in a new book illustrating their ingenious ways of satire.
April 12, 2013 -- Updated 1035 GMT (1835 HKT)
lamborghini dubai police 4
No surprise that Dubai's police would drive one of the world's most extravagant and expensive cars.
April 11, 2013 -- Updated 0409 GMT (1209 HKT)
Artist Do Guez tells the story of Christian Palestinians with a new exhibtion in London.
April 3, 2013 -- Updated 1424 GMT (2224 HKT)
Arwa Damon gets taken white water rafting by a group of Iraqis hoping to turn Kurdistan into a haven for eco-tourists.
April 5, 2013 -- Updated 0259 GMT (1059 HKT)
Babylon was one of the glories of the ancient world, its walls and mythic hanging gardens listed among the Seven Wonders.
April 3, 2013 -- Updated 1422 GMT (2222 HKT)
Once the world's capital of literature, mathematics and the arts, Baghdad is struggling to recapture its former glory.
April 3, 2013 -- Updated 1423 GMT (2223 HKT)
Iraq's autonomous northern region of Kurdistan is eager to display its distinct cultural heritage and booming economy.
April 3, 2013 -- Updated 1430 GMT (2230 HKT)
"Ako Fad Wahed" ("There is this guy") is pushing social boundaries in Iraq -- and angering some conservatives.
March 29, 2013 -- Updated 0433 GMT (1233 HKT)
Meet the Arab women filmmakers who are finding international acclaim.
March 15, 2013 -- Updated 0241 GMT (1041 HKT)
A man-made lake in the UAE is dividing opinion. Is it a boon for wildlife or potential disaster?
March 13, 2013 -- Updated 0241 GMT (1041 HKT)
Two eco-minded Omanis spent hours on end in a freezer to prepare for an expedition to the Antarctic.
March 6, 2013 -- Updated 1703 GMT (0103 HKT)
CNN's Sara Sidner meets two filmmakers whose documentaries were nominated for Academy Awards this year.
March 6, 2013 -- Updated 1652 GMT (0052 HKT)
CNN's Leone Lakhani looks at how Muscat is taking center stage on the cultural map with both opera and filmmaking.
March 8, 2013 -- Updated 0451 GMT (1251 HKT)
A dusty track in the remote western region of the United Arab Emirates is one of the last places you'd expect to find a beauty pageant.
ADVERTISEMENT