Polls


OR Rep Primary-President
Voter News Service Exit Poll            State:   Oregon
For Election Occurring 03/12/96         Contest: Rep Primary-President
How to read the exit poll data


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Candidates (*/+ indicates VNS/CNN winner) Votes V% Del *DOLE = Robert Dole 202,702 52 14 BCHN = Patrick Buchanan 85,662 22 6 FORB = Steve Forbes 52,853 13 3 ALEX = Lamar Alexander 28,112 7 0 KEYS = Alan Keyes 13,858 4 0 LUGR = Dick Lugar 4,918 1 0 Back to top
Results Recorded for 798 Respondents ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exit Poll Question All < Vertical Pcts > < Horizontal Pcts > and Answer(s) Pct ALEX BCHN DOLE FORB ALEX BCHN DOLE FORB KEYS LUGR KEYS LUGR ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Vote by Gender Men 47 43 54 44 53 7 25 49 15 30 0 2 0 Women 53 57 46 56 47 8 19 54 12 70 0 5 2 Back to top
Vote By Age 18-29 15 9 18 16 11 4 26 54 10 18 0 4 0 30-44 32 38 36 30 26 8 24 49 11 43 0 5 2 45-59 24 17 23 24 25 5 22 52 15 29 0 4 1 60 or Over 29 36 23 30 38 8 18 53 18 10 0 1 1 Vote By Age 18-64 77 67 79 78 69 6 23 53 12 92 0 4 1 Over 64 23 33 21 22 31 9 20 48 19 8 0 1 1 Back to top
Vote By Income Under $15,000 11 18 15 10 7 12 28 48 8 7 0 2 0 $15-30,000 24 14 31 24 22 4 26 50 12 24 0 4 2 $30-50,000 33 36 36 32 32 8 23 50 13 34 0 3 1 $50-75,000 19 11 13 21 22 4 15 58 17 17 0 3 2 $75-100,000 7 7 5 8 9 6 14 56 18 10 0 4 1 Over $100,000 6 15 0 6 9 18 1 54 21 8 0 5 0 Back to top
Vote By Education No H.S. Degree 8 0 14 9 3 0 38 55 5 4 0 1 0 High School Graduate 26 26 30 25 20 7 26 50 10 31 0 4 2 Some College 41 33 39 42 50 5 21 53 16 31 0 3 1 College Graduate 14 19 11 14 16 9 17 52 15 11 0 3 3 Post-Graduate Degree 11 22 6 10 11 14 13 49 14 23 0 8 0 Vote By Education No College Degree 75 58 83 76 73 5 24 52 13 65 0 3 1 College Graduate 25 42 17 24 27 11 15 51 15 35 0 5 2 Back to top
Vote By Religion Protestant 53 57 50 50 64 7 21 49 16 72 0 5 2 Catholic 16 23 15 17 15 9 20 54 12 11 0 2 1 Other Christian 18 10 24 19 11 4 29 55 8 13 0 2 1 Jewish 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 3 3 2 2 4 0 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 None 9 4 10 11 6 3 24 61 9 0 0 0 1 Back to top
Political Ideology Very Liberal 3 13 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 Somewhat Liberal 8 9 5 8 14 7 13 51 24 7 0 3 1 Moderate 28 36 18 30 32 8 14 56 16 8 0 1 3 Somewhat Conserv. 38 32 32 42 42 5 19 58 15 25 0 2 0 Very Conservative 23 10 43 18 12 3 41 41 7 53 0 8 0 Back to top
Party Identification Democrat 4 2 5 3 3 4 31 38 9 8 0 8 8 Republican 84 71 84 89 77 5 22 55 12 83 0 4 1 Independent 12 27 11 8 20 15 20 35 23 9 0 3 3 Back to top
1992 Presidential Vote Clinton 13 36 9 11 10 18 16 45 10 11 0 3 6 Bush 61 39 58 70 45 4 21 59 10 74 0 4 1 Perot 14 17 16 10 30 8 25 35 28 11 0 3 1 Other 2 0 2 1 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Did Not Vote 9 8 14 8 10 6 33 43 14 4 0 2 0 Back to top
Decided Who To Vote For... Today 4 6 5 2 8 9 27 25 26 14 0 11 1 Last Three Days 9 9 5 9 12 8 14 54 18 2 0 1 5 Last Week 25 25 22 25 30 7 19 51 16 36 0 5 0 Earlier This Year 48 36 55 49 43 5 25 52 12 38 0 3 2 Before That 10 7 11 13 4 5 24 63 5 6 0 2 0 Back to top
Attention Paid to GOP Primary A Lot 49 51 47 47 63 8 21 50 17 38 0 3 1 Some 41 41 45 42 31 7 24 52 10 48 0 4 2 Hardly Any 7 8 5 9 5 8 14 62 9 7 0 3 1 None 2 0 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 7 0 0 0 Back to top
Satisfied with Candidates? Yes 53 20 56 62 38 3 23 60 10 60 0 4 0 No 43 71 40 36 57 12 21 43 18 26 0 2 3 Back to top
Member of Religious Right Yes 36 12 50 35 27 2 31 50 10 60 0 6 0 No 59 77 42 61 72 9 16 53 16 34 0 2 2 Back to top
Abortion Ban in GOP Platform Favor 37 26 54 35 18 5 32 48 7 74 0 7 1 Oppose 54 61 35 56 76 8 14 54 19 23 0 2 2 Back to top
Is Buchanan Too Extreme? Yes 55 76 19 61 78 10 7 57 19 43 0 3 2 No 39 11 79 32 22 2 44 42 8 47 0 4 0 Back to top
Does Dole Have New Ideas? Yes 41 23 28 58 14 4 15 73 5 23 0 2 0 No 51 63 66 35 76 9 28 36 20 58 0 4 2 Back to top
Vote for Dole in November Very Likely 68 39 61 78 62 4 20 60 12 65 0 3 0 Somewhat Likely 15 17 18 14 16 8 26 47 15 5 0 1 2 Not Too Likely 4 4 8 3 2 6 42 33 5 6 0 4 8 Not Likely At All 11 39 14 3 18 26 27 15 23 12 0 4 3 Back to top
Prefer Which Tax System? Flat Tax 46 47 49 36 82 7 23 41 24 38 0 3 1 Current System 42 41 38 50 14 7 20 61 5 54 0 5 2 Back to top
Americans' Standard of Living Will Rise 39 35 33 42 44 7 18 55 15 28 0 3 1 Will Fall 48 46 60 46 41 7 27 49 11 51 0 4 1 Back to top
Which Concerns You More? Economic Problems 31 37 19 32 43 9 13 53 19 12 0 1 3 Moral Problems 63 59 76 61 52 7 26 50 11 85 0 5 1 Back to top
Trust Government in Washington Always 3 6 3 2 3 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 Most of the Time 14 12 10 16 16 6 16 62 16 0 0 0 0 Some of the Time 71 63 69 72 73 6 21 53 14 65 0 3 2 Never 11 9 18 8 7 6 36 36 9 31 0 10 2 Back to top
Trade With Other Countries Creates Jobs 54 46 44 55 68 6 18 53 17 50 0 3 2 Loses Jobs 26 25 38 24 13 7 33 49 7 19 0 3 1 No Effect 12 16 8 13 9 10 16 56 11 16 0 5 1 Back to top
U.S. Should Welcome Immigrants Yes 54 57 49 55 54 8 20 53 14 47 0 3 2 No 40 33 48 39 35 6 27 51 12 36 0 3 0 Back to top
Can Alexander Beat Clinton? Yes 10 26 8 9 7 19 18 45 10 12 0 4 3 No 78 56 82 81 78 5 23 54 14 58 0 3 1 Back to top
Can Buchanan Beat Clinton? Yes 19 21 44 9 10 8 52 26 7 27 0 5 1 No 75 63 49 86 88 6 14 59 16 60 0 3 1 Back to top
Can Dole Beat Clinton? Yes 61 42 51 73 47 5 18 61 10 67 0 4 1 No 28 42 38 18 43 11 29 33 20 21 0 3 2 Back to top
Can Forbes Beat Clinton? Yes 19 20 16 12 53 8 18 32 37 23 0 4 0 No 70 55 71 81 38 6 22 59 7 69 0 3 1 Back to top
Which Issues Mattered Most? Immigration 4 4 8 4 0 7 45 48 0 0 0 0 0 Foreign Trade 4 7 5 4 4 13 25 47 15 0 0 0 0 Taxes 20 8 12 20 43 3 13 51 29 7 0 1 2 Education 9 20 8 9 2 16 20 51 3 14 0 5 2 Economy/Jobs 20 21 21 19 25 8 23 49 17 12 0 2 2 Budget Deficit 21 25 14 27 15 8 15 66 9 6 0 1 0 Abortion 13 11 24 9 3 6 39 35 3 57 0 15 1 Back to top
Which Quality Mattered Most? Vision for Future 12 13 7 9 30 8 13 39 35 2 0 1 3 Stand Up for Beliefs 23 6 44 17 23 2 42 38 13 18 0 3 1 Can Beat Clinton 14 8 10 18 10 4 16 68 10 8 0 2 0 Conservative Values 18 5 25 19 3 2 30 54 2 56 0 11 0 Not a Politician 7 12 5 2 24 13 17 14 48 3 0 2 4 Experience in D.C. 13 16 3 21 1 9 5 85 1 0 0 0 0 Not Too Extreme 8 23 1 8 6 22 2 57 10 4 0 2 5 Back to top


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