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Poll: Bush adds to New Hampshire lead

By Keating Holland/CNN

September 14, 1999
Web posted at: 5:10 p.m. EDT (2110 GMT)

WASHINGTON -- Texas Gov. George W. Bush has added to his commanding lead among New Hampshire voters who say they will participate in that state's first-in-the-nation GOP primary next February, with his three closest competitors now trailing him by at least 30 percentage points.

Former Red Cross chairwoman Elizabeth Dole, Sen. John McCain of Arizona and multimillionaire publisher Steve Forbes are behind Bush in that order.

Like former New Jersey Sen. Bill Bradley on the Democratic side, Bush has gained support among men while holding steady among women to garner 45 percent of the GOP Granite State vote.

Dole, McCain, and Forbes are essentially in a three-way tie for second, with the remaining candidates in single digits.

But Bush could easily lose his advantage as 56 percent of GOP primary voters say they may change their minds between now and February.

The poll is based on interviews with 702 New Hampshire voters, including 377 who say they intend to vote in the Republican primary next year. It was conducted by the University of New Hampshire on September 5-11, 1999, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points.

I am going to read the names of the candidates who are expected to be on the Republican primary ballot. If you were voting in the 2000 New Hampshire Republican primary for president today, would you vote for: Gary Bauer, Pat Buchanan, George W. Bush, Elizabeth Dole, Steve Forbes, Orrin Hatch, Alan Keyes, John McCain, or Dan Quayle?

Bush45%
Dole15
McCain12
Forbes10
Buchanan5
Keyes4
Quayle3
Bauer1
Hatch1

 NowMay
Bush45%37%
Dole1516
McCain1214
Forbes106

Of respondents who said they would vote for George W. Bush:

 NowMay
Men51%33%
Women3941

 NowMay
Parents45%28%
No children4642

Of respondents who identified themselves as moderate or conservative:

 ModeratesConservatives
Bush41%46%
Dole228
McCain207

 ModeratesConservatives
Bush41%46%
Forbes812
Buchanan010

Are you certain to support that person, or do you think you may change your mind and support someone else in the 2000 New Hampshire primary?

Yes56%
No44

CAMPAIGN 2000

New Hampshire sets February 1 primary date (9-28-99)

Arizona governor endorses Bush over McCain (9-28-99)

Bradley unveils $65 billion plan for universal health care (9-28-99)

Gore receives endorsements of Shaquille O'Neal and Bill Cosby (9-28-99)

MORE HEADLINES


FOLLOW THE MONEY

How much money have the candidates raised? Here are their quarterly reports to the Federal Election Commission.


VIDEO

McCain officially announces Presidential candidacy (9-28-99) video Windows Media: 28K | 80K

VIDEO ARCHIVE


TIME THIS WEEK

The art of being Bradley

How Gore's campaign went off the rails


'TOONS
On the wrong track

Bob Lang: On the wrong track (9-28-99) more

Mike Luckovich: "There's a whine in the air" (9-22-99) more


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Tuesday, September 14, 1999

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