|
|  |
Exit Polls: Governor |
Updated: 3:42 a.m. |
|
4214 Interviews (400 Absentee, 3814 Exit)
 
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sex |
Male |
48% |
32% |
49% |
11% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Female |
52% |
36% |
43% |
14% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Sex by Race |
White Male |
33% |
27% |
55% |
12% |
3% |
0% |
2% |
|---|
| White Female |
37% |
30% |
48% |
15% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Non-White Male |
15% |
47% |
34% |
9% |
5% |
3% |
3% |
|---|
| Non-White Female |
15% |
54% |
28% |
10% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Race |
White |
70% |
28% |
52% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Black |
6% |
64% |
17% |
6% |
6% |
4% |
4% |
|---|
| Hispanic |
18% |
52% |
31% |
9% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Asian |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Other |
4% |
37% |
37% |
18% |
2% |
0% |
6% |
|---|
| Age (4 Categories) |
18-29 |
13% |
35% |
43% |
10% |
9% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 30-44 |
30% |
31% |
49% |
14% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 45-64 |
40% |
36% |
45% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 65+ |
17% |
36% |
46% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Age (Age-65 & Over) |
18-64 |
83% |
34% |
46% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 65+ |
17% |
36% |
46% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Age (Age-60) |
18-29 |
13% |
35% |
43% |
10% |
9% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 30-44 |
30% |
31% |
49% |
14% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 45-59 |
31% |
37% |
45% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 60+ |
25% |
36% |
46% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Age (Age-65) |
18-24 |
7% |
28% |
46% |
11% |
9% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| 25-29 |
6% |
41% |
39% |
8% |
9% |
0% |
3% |
|---|
| 30-39 |
18% |
34% |
46% |
14% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| 40-49 |
24% |
31% |
49% |
14% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 50-64 |
28% |
37% |
46% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 65+ |
17% |
36% |
46% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Age (Age 4 categories) by Men |
Men 18-29 |
15% |
34% |
44% |
9% |
8% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Men 30-44 |
29% |
26% |
55% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Men 45-64 |
41% |
35% |
48% |
10% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Men 65+ |
15% |
34% |
49% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Age (Age 4 categories) by Women |
Women 18-29 |
11% |
35% |
41% |
10% |
10% |
0% |
3% |
|---|
| Women 30-44 |
32% |
34% |
44% |
15% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Women 45-64 |
39% |
37% |
42% |
14% |
3% |
0% |
3% |
|---|
| Women 65+ |
18% |
38% |
44% |
13% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Education |
Did not complete high school |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| High school grad |
13% |
33% |
50% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Some college/associate degree |
33% |
30% |
48% |
14% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| College grad |
28% |
32% |
49% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Postgraduate study |
23% |
44% |
38% |
10% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Education |
Non-college grad |
49% |
32% |
48% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| College grad or greater |
51% |
37% |
44% |
12% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Education |
High school or less |
16% |
36% |
47% |
11% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
|---|
| Some college/Associate degree |
33% |
30% |
48% |
14% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| College grad or greater |
51% |
37% |
44% |
12% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| 2002 Total Family Income |
Under $15,000 |
5% |
40% |
41% |
6% |
9% |
0% |
4% |
|---|
| $15,000-$29,999 |
10% |
45% |
35% |
11% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| $30,000-$49,999 |
17% |
41% |
40% |
12% |
4% |
0% |
3% |
|---|
| $50,000-$74,999 |
26% |
33% |
46% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| $75,000-$99,999 |
18% |
28% |
53% |
14% |
3% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| $100,000 or more |
24% |
31% |
50% |
13% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a...? |
Democrat |
38% |
68% |
18% |
6% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Republican |
39% |
6% |
74% |
17% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
|---|
| Independent |
16% |
28% |
44% |
15% |
6% |
2% |
5% |
|---|
| Something else |
7% |
26% |
41% |
10% |
13% |
1% |
9% |
|---|
| Party ID (Collapsed) |
Democrat |
38% |
68% |
18% |
6% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Republican |
39% |
6% |
74% |
17% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
|---|
| Independent or something else |
23% |
28% |
43% |
13% |
8% |
2% |
6% |
|---|
| Party Affiliation |
Male Democrat |
16% |
72% |
17% |
6% |
3% |
0% |
2% |
|---|
| Male Republican |
20% |
5% |
78% |
15% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Male Independent/Else |
12% |
26% |
45% |
11% |
9% |
2% |
6% |
|---|
| Female Democrat |
22% |
64% |
20% |
7% |
5% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Female Republican |
19% |
7% |
71% |
20% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|---|
| Female Independent/Else |
11% |
29% |
41% |
16% |
7% |
1% |
5% |
|---|
| On most political matters, do you consider yourself...? |
Very liberal |
11% |
71% |
12% |
3% |
11% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Somewhat liberal |
20% |
58% |
24% |
7% |
6% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Moderate |
36% |
31% |
50% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Somewhat conservative |
19% |
12% |
68% |
17% |
0% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Very conservative |
14% |
10% |
65% |
23% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
|---|
| Political Ideology |
Liberal |
32% |
63% |
20% |
6% |
8% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Moderate |
36% |
31% |
50% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Conservative |
33% |
11% |
67% |
20% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Party by Political Ideology |
Liberal Democrats |
27% |
74% |
13% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Moderate/Conservative Democrats |
23% |
60% |
25% |
9% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Liberal/Moderate Republicans |
18% |
9% |
74% |
13% |
1% |
0% |
2% |
|---|
| Conservative Republicans |
32% |
5% |
75% |
19% |
1% |
0% |
0% |
|---|
| Political Ideology by Sex |
Male liberal |
13% |
66% |
19% |
5% |
7% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Male moderate |
17% |
33% |
51% |
8% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Male conservative |
18% |
7% |
72% |
18% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Female liberal |
18% |
61% |
21% |
6% |
8% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Female moderate |
19% |
29% |
49% |
15% |
3% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Female conservative |
15% |
16% |
61% |
21% |
0% |
0% |
1% |
|---|
| Do you or does someone in your household belong to a labor union? |
I do |
17% |
44% |
38% |
11% |
5% |
0% |
2% |
|---|
| Yes, someone else does |
13% |
37% |
42% |
14% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
|---|
| Yes, I do and someone else does |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| No one does |
68% |
31% |
50% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Union Household |
Union Household |
32% |
41% |
39% |
12% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Non-union Household |
68% |
31% |
50% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Union Member |
Voter is a union member |
20% |
44% |
37% |
11% |
5% |
0% |
2% |
|---|
| Someone in household is union member |
13% |
37% |
42% |
14% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
|---|
| No union member in household |
68% |
31% |
50% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Are you gay, lesbian or bisexual? |
Yes |
4% |
51% |
32% |
4% |
9% |
0% |
3% |
|---|
| No |
96% |
34% |
47% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| How often have you voted in previous elections? |
Always |
73% |
34% |
46% |
12% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Usually |
22% |
36% |
42% |
14% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Rarely |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Never |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Frequency of past voting |
Always/Usually vote |
94% |
35% |
45% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Rarely/Never vote |
6% |
30% |
53% |
8% |
6% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? |
Approve |
51% |
9% |
72% |
17% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
|---|
| Disapprove |
46% |
63% |
17% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
5% |
|---|
| No Answer |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gray Davis is handling his job as governor? |
Strongly approve |
6% |
73% |
16% |
3% |
5% |
0% |
2% |
|---|
| Somewhat approve |
20% |
79% |
6% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Somewhat disapprove |
23% |
45% |
28% |
15% |
7% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Strongly disapprove |
50% |
6% |
74% |
15% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No Answer |
1% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gray Davis is handling his job as governor? |
Strongly/Somewhat approve |
26% |
78% |
9% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Strongly/Somewhat disapprove |
73% |
18% |
59% |
15% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
1% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Davis Approval/Recall vote |
Approve of Davis job |
27% |
78% |
9% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Disapprove of Davis job/NO on recall |
19% |
59% |
13% |
12% |
10% |
1% |
5% |
|---|
| Disapprove of Davis job/YES on recall |
54% |
4% |
76% |
17% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Is your opinion of Cruz Bustamante...? |
Favorable |
37% |
77% |
11% |
5% |
5% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Unfavorable |
58% |
8% |
68% |
17% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
5% |
31% |
45% |
15% |
3% |
2% |
5% |
|---|
| Is your opinion of Tom McClintock...? |
Favorable |
55% |
18% |
56% |
21% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Unfavorable |
37% |
56% |
32% |
1% |
5% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| No Answer |
8% |
44% |
42% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
5% |
|---|
| Is your opinion of Arnold Schwarzenegger...? |
Favorable |
51% |
4% |
83% |
10% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Unfavorable |
44% |
69% |
4% |
15% |
7% |
1% |
5% |
|---|
| No Answer |
4% |
33% |
37% |
20% |
4% |
2% |
4% |
|---|
| When did you finally decide how to vote within today"s election to recall Gray Davis? |
Today |
5% |
30% |
39% |
15% |
6% |
1% |
9% |
|---|
| In the last three days |
5% |
27% |
44% |
18% |
8% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| In the last week |
6% |
35% |
35% |
18% |
6% |
3% |
4% |
|---|
| Within the last month |
15% |
29% |
45% |
16% |
5% |
2% |
3% |
|---|
| More than a month ago |
67% |
35% |
47% |
11% |
3% |
0% |
3% |
|---|
| Did not vote on the recall |
2% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| No Answer |
1% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| When did you finally decide how to vote in today's election to recall Gray Davis? |
In the last three days |
9% |
29% |
41% |
16% |
7% |
1% |
6% |
|---|
| Within the last week or earlier |
89% |
34% |
45% |
12% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
1% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| When did you finally decide how to vote in today's election to recall Gray Davis? |
Within the last week |
15% |
31% |
39% |
17% |
7% |
2% |
5% |
|---|
| Within the last month or earlier |
84% |
34% |
46% |
12% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
1% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| No matter how you voted today, which comes closer to your opinion about the recall process? |
It was worth the cost |
49% |
8% |
74% |
14% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| It was a waste of money |
48% |
62% |
16% |
11% |
6% |
1% |
5% |
|---|
| No Answer |
4% |
26% |
51% |
16% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| When voting today, did you experience any problems with the voting equipment or the length of the ballot? |
Serious problems |
2% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Minor problems |
7% |
43% |
35% |
11% |
7% |
2% |
3% |
|---|
| No problems |
88% |
33% |
46% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| When voting today, did you experience any problems with the voting equipment or the length of the ballot? |
Serious/Minor problems |
9% |
44% |
34% |
10% |
6% |
2% |
4% |
|---|
| No problems |
88% |
33% |
46% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Voting Equipment |
Punch Card |
36% |
36% |
45% |
11% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| DRE/Touch Screen |
5% |
28% |
47% |
21% |
2% |
0% |
2% |
|---|
| Optical Scan |
34% |
33% |
45% |
13% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Absentee/Early Voters |
24% |
35% |
49% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Voting Method |
Punch Cards |
36% |
36% |
45% |
11% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Other method |
64% |
34% |
47% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Do you think the condition of California's economy is...? |
Excellent |
4% |
36% |
35% |
17% |
6% |
3% |
3% |
|---|
| Good |
13% |
46% |
35% |
11% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Not so good |
50% |
39% |
39% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Poor |
33% |
22% |
61% |
11% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
1% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Do you think the condition of California's economy is...? |
Excellent/Good |
16% |
44% |
35% |
12% |
5% |
2% |
2% |
|---|
| Not so good/Poor |
83% |
32% |
48% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
1% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Will California be able to resolve its budget deficit without raising taxes? |
Yes |
46% |
21% |
60% |
14% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No |
47% |
47% |
32% |
11% |
5% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| No Answer |
7% |
36% |
42% |
15% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| If these had been the only two candidates for governor on the ballot today, for whom would you have voted? |
Cruz M. Bustamante |
39% |
86% |
1% |
4% |
6% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Arnold Schwarzenegger |
54% |
1% |
84% |
13% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| Would not have voted for governor |
7% |
10% |
5% |
49% |
13% |
3% |
19% |
|---|
| Which was more important in your vote for a new governor today? |
My candidate's positions on the issues |
59% |
36% |
42% |
14% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| My candidate's leadership/personal qualities |
37% |
27% |
56% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Did not vote for a new governor |
4% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Do you think Arnold Schwarzenegger addressed the issues in enough detail? |
Yes |
32% |
5% |
86% |
6% |
1% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
| No |
63% |
50% |
25% |
16% |
5% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| No Answer |
6% |
25% |
54% |
13% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Should the state government issue drivers licenses to illegal immigrants? |
Yes |
24% |
70% |
14% |
5% |
7% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No |
70% |
21% |
58% |
15% |
2% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| No Answer |
6% |
49% |
30% |
13% |
6% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be... |
Legal in all cases |
30% |
46% |
35% |
8% |
7% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Legal in most cases |
35% |
38% |
46% |
10% |
3% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Illegal in most cases |
20% |
16% |
62% |
18% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Illegal in all cases |
10% |
27% |
45% |
24% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No Answer |
5% |
29% |
47% |
16% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be... |
Legal in most/all cases |
65% |
41% |
41% |
9% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Illegal in most/all cases |
30% |
20% |
57% |
20% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No Answer |
5% |
29% |
47% |
16% |
4% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| How do you feel about California's new law extending domestic partner rights for gays and lesbians? |
Enthusiastic |
21% |
57% |
23% |
6% |
9% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Supportive, but not enthusiastic |
32% |
41% |
42% |
10% |
3% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Opposed, but not angry |
29% |
20% |
58% |
17% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Angry |
13% |
15% |
66% |
16% |
0% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No Answer |
5% |
28% |
50% |
15% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Feelings on new domestic partners law |
Enthusiastic/Supportive, but not enthusiastic |
53% |
47% |
34% |
9% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Opposed, but not angry/Angry |
42% |
18% |
60% |
17% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No Answer |
5% |
28% |
50% |
15% |
4% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Recall Vote |
Yes |
57% |
6% |
74% |
16% |
1% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No |
43% |
72% |
9% |
8% |
7% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Proposition 54 Vote |
Yes |
39% |
15% |
64% |
16% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No |
61% |
47% |
34% |
10% |
5% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Recall Vote by Proposition 54 |
Yes both Recall & Prop 54 |
31% |
4% |
76% |
17% |
1% |
0% |
1% |
|---|
| Yes Recall but No Prop 54 |
25% |
8% |
73% |
14% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| No Recall but Yes Prop 54 |
8% |
60% |
15% |
10% |
8% |
2% |
6% |
|---|
| No both Recall & Prop 54 |
36% |
74% |
7% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
4% |
|---|
| Recall by Replacement vote |
Yes - Bustamante |
3% |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
* |
|---|
| Yes - Schwarzenegger |
42% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|---|
| Yes - Other/No Vote |
12% |
0% |
3% |
80% |
6% |
3% |
8% |
|---|
| No - Bustamante |
30% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|---|
| No - Schwarzenegger |
4% |
0% |
100% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
0% |
|---|
| No - Other/No Vote |
9% |
2% |
1% |
37% |
34% |
6% |
20% |
|---|
| California Geocodes |
Los Angeles County |
24% |
40% |
42% |
10% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Southern California |
29% |
23% |
59% |
13% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
|---|
| Bay Area |
18% |
51% |
26% |
12% |
5% |
1% |
5% |
|---|
| Coastal |
11% |
44% |
35% |
11% |
4% |
0% |
5% |
|---|
| Inland/Valley |
18% |
22% |
56% |
17% |
4% |
1% |
0% |
|---|
| Exit poll/Telephone poll |
Exit poll |
76% |
34% |
45% |
13% |
4% |
1% |
3% |
|---|
| Telephone poll |
24% |
35% |
49% |
12% |
2% |
1% |
1% |
|---|
• Exit polls are a survey of selected voters taken (typically by the media)
soon after they leave their voting place. Pollsters use this sample
information, collected from a small percentage of voters, to track and
project how all voters or a specific segments of the voters sided on a
particular race or ballot measure. For more on how CNN conducts and uses
exit polls, click here.
| |
