CNN.com Election 2003 - California Recall

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Exit Polls: Special Election

Updated: 3:42 a.m.

4214 Interviews (400 Absentee, 3814 Exit)


Sex	Male	47%	59%	41%
Sex	Female	53%	51%	49%
Sex by Race	White Male	32%	64%	36%
	White Female	37%	57%	43%
	Non-White Male	15%	46%	54%
	Non-White Female	15%	39%	61%
Race	White	69%	60%	40%
	Black	6%	27%	73%
	Hispanic	17%	46%	54%
	Asian	3%	*	*
	Other	4%	55%	45%
Age (4 Categories)	18-29	13%	52%	48%
	30-44	30%	58%	42%
	45-64	40%	54%	46%
	65+	17%	54%	46%
Age (Age-65 & Over)	18-64	83%	55%	45%
Age (Age-65 & Over)	65+	17%	54%	46%
Age (Age-60)	18-29	13%	52%	48%
	30-44	30%	58%	42%
	45-59	32%	54%	46%
	60+	25%	54%	46%
Age (Age-65)	18-24	7%	55%	45%
	25-29	6%	50%	50%
	30-39	18%	56%	44%
	40-49	24%	58%	42%
	50-64	29%	53%	47%
	65+	17%	54%	46%
Age (Age 4 categories) by Men	Men 18-29	15%	55%	45%
	Men 30-44	29%	62%	38%
	Men 45-64	41%	59%	41%
	Men 65+	15%	56%	44%
Age (Age 4 categories) by Women	Women 18-29	11%	49%	51%
	Women 30-44	32%	55%	45%
	Women 45-64	39%	49%	51%
	Women 65+	18%	52%	48%
Education	Did not complete high school	3%	*	*
	High school grad	13%	61%	39%
	Some college/associate degree	32%	59%	41%
	College grad	28%	57%	43%
	Postgraduate study	23%	45%	55%
Education	Non-college grad	49%	58%	42%
Education	College grad or greater	51%	51%	49%
Education	High school or less	16%	58%	42%
	Some college/Associate degree	32%	59%	41%
	College grad or greater	51%	51%	49%
2002 Total Family Income	Under $15,000	5%	50%	50%
	$15,000-$29,999	10%	46%	54%
	$30,000-$49,999	17%	49%	51%
	$50,000-$74,999	26%	56%	44%
	$75,000-$99,999	18%	62%	38%
	$100,000 or more	24%	57%	43%
No matter how you voted today, do you usually think of yourself as a...?	Democrat	39%	24%	76%
	Republican	38%	88%	12%
	Independent	17%	54%	46%
	Something else	7%	51%	49%
Party ID (Collapsed)	Democrat	39%	24%	76%
	Republican	38%	88%	12%
	Independent or something else	23%	53%	47%
Party Affiliation	Male Democrat	16%	25%	75%
	Male Republican	19%	88%	12%
	Male Independent/Else	12%	56%	44%
	Female Democrat	23%	23%	77%
	Female Republican	18%	88%	12%
	Female Independent/Else	11%	50%	50%
On most political matters, do you consider yourself...?	Very liberal	11%	16%	84%
	Somewhat liberal	21%	29%	71%
	Moderate	37%	56%	44%
	Somewhat conservative	18%	84%	16%
	Very conservative	13%	87%	13%
Political Ideology	Liberal	32%	24%	76%
	Moderate	37%	56%	44%
	Conservative	31%	85%	15%
Party by Political Ideology	Liberal Democrats	27%	16%	84%
	Moderate/Conservative Democrats	23%	32%	68%
	Liberal/Moderate Republicans	18%	83%	17%
	Conservative Republicans	31%	91%	9%
Political Ideology by Sex	Male liberal	13%	24%	76%
	Male moderate	17%	57%	43%
	Male conservative	17%	88%	12%
	Female liberal	19%	25%	75%
	Female moderate	20%	55%	45%
	Female conservative	14%	81%	19%
Do you or does someone in your household belong to a labor union?	I do	17%	45%	55%
	Yes, someone else does	12%	57%	43%
	Yes, I do and someone else does	3%	*	*
	No one does	68%	58%	42%
Union Household	Union Household	32%	49%	51%
Union Household	Non-union Household	68%	58%	42%
Union Member	Voter is a union member	20%	45%	55%
	Someone in household is union member	12%	57%	43%
	No union member in household	68%	58%	42%
Are you gay, lesbian or bisexual?	Yes	4%	42%	58%
Are you gay, lesbian or bisexual?	No	96%	56%	44%
How often have you voted in previous elections?	Always	73%	55%	45%
	Usually	22%	54%	46%
	Rarely	3%	*	*
	Never	3%	*	*
Frequency of past voting	Always/Usually vote	94%	54%	46%
Frequency of past voting	Rarely/Never vote	6%	65%	35%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president?	Approve	49%	86%	14%
	Disapprove	48%	22%	78%
	No Answer	3%	*	*
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gray Davis is handling his job as governor?	Strongly approve	6%	15%	85%
	Somewhat approve	20%	9%	91%
	Somewhat disapprove	23%	36%	64%
	Strongly disapprove	48%	90%	10%
	No Answer	2%	*	*
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Gray Davis is handling his job as governor?	Strongly/Somewhat approve	27%	10%	90%
	Strongly/Somewhat disapprove	71%	72%	28%
	No Answer	2%	*	*
Davis Approval/Recall vote	Approve of Davis job	27%	10%	90%
	Disapprove of Davis job/NO on recall	20%	0%	100%
	Disapprove of Davis job/YES on recall	53%	100%	0%
Is your opinion of Cruz Bustamante...?	Favorable	36%	20%	80%
	Unfavorable	58%	77%	23%
	No Answer	6%	54%	46%
Is your opinion of Tom McClintock...?	Favorable	53%	70%	30%
	Unfavorable	38%	34%	66%
	No Answer	9%	50%	50%
Is your opinion of Arnold Schwarzenegger...?	Favorable	50%	88%	12%
	Unfavorable	45%	19%	81%
	No Answer	5%	54%	46%
When did you finally decide how to vote within today"s election to recall Gray Davis?	Today	5%	47%	53%
	In the last three days	5%	59%	41%
	In the last week	6%	54%	46%
	Within the last month	15%	56%	44%
	More than a month ago	67%	55%	45%
	Did not vote on the recall	2%	*	*
	No Answer	1%	*	*
When did you finally decide how to vote in today's election to recall Gray Davis?	In the last three days	10%	53%	47%
	Within the last week or earlier	89%	55%	45%
	No Answer	1%	*	*
When did you finally decide how to vote in today's election to recall Gray Davis?	Within the last week	15%	53%	47%
	Within the last month or earlier	83%	55%	45%
	No Answer	1%	*	*
No matter how you voted today, which comes closer to your opinion about the recall process?	It was worth the cost	47%	92%	8%
	It was a waste of money	49%	19%	81%
	No Answer	4%	59%	41%
When voting today, did you experience any problems with the voting equipment or the length of the ballot?	Serious problems	2%	*	*
	Minor problems	7%	41%	59%
	No problems	87%	55%	45%
	No Answer	4%	59%	41%
When voting today, did you experience any problems with the voting equipment or the length of the ballot?	Serious/Minor problems	9%	40%	60%
	No problems	87%	55%	45%
	No Answer	4%	59%	41%
Voting Equipment	Punch Card	35%	52%	48%
	DRE/Touch Screen	5%	60%	40%
	Optical Scan	34%	55%	45%
	Absentee/Early Voters	25%	58%	42%
Voting Method	Punch Cards	35%	52%	48%
Voting Method	Other method	65%	57%	43%
Do you think the condition of California's economy is...?	Excellent	4%	59%	41%
	Good	13%	39%	61%
	Not so good	50%	49%	51%
	Poor	33%	71%	29%
	No Answer	1%	*	*
Do you think the condition of California's economy is...?	Excellent/Good	16%	43%	57%
	Not so good/Poor	83%	57%	43%
	No Answer	1%	*	*
Will California be able to resolve its budget deficit without raising taxes?	Yes	46%	71%	29%
	No	48%	40%	60%
	No Answer	6%	56%	44%
If these had been the only two candidates for governor on the ballot today, for whom would you have voted?	Cruz M. Bustamante	38%	11%	89%
	Arnold Schwarzenegger	53%	90%	10%
	Would not have voted for governor	9%	38%	62%
Which was more important in your vote for a new governor today?	My candidate's positions on the issues	58%	53%	47%
	My candidate's leadership/personal qualities	36%	67%	33%
	Did not vote for a new governor	6%	6%	6%
Do you think Arnold Schwarzenegger addressed the issues in enough detail?	Yes	31%	88%	12%
	No	64%	38%	62%
	No Answer	6%	64%	36%
Should the state government issue drivers licenses to illegal immigrants?	Yes	24%	22%	78%
	No	70%	68%	32%
	No Answer	6%	40%	60%
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be...	Legal in all cases	30%	40%	60%
	Legal in most cases	35%	51%	49%
	Illegal in most cases	20%	78%	22%
	Illegal in all cases	10%	70%	30%
	No Answer	6%	57%	43%
Which comes closest to your position? Abortion should be...	Legal in most/all cases	65%	46%	54%
	Illegal in most/all cases	29%	75%	25%
	No Answer	6%	57%	43%
How do you feel about California's new law extending domestic partner rights for gays and lesbians?	Enthusiastic	21%	26%	74%
	Supportive, but not enthusiastic	32%	46%	54%
	Opposed, but not angry	29%	72%	28%
	Angry	13%	84%	16%
	No Answer	6%	56%	44%
Feelings on new domestic partners law	Enthusiastic/Supportive, but not enthusiastic	52%	38%	62%
	Opposed, but not angry/Angry	42%	76%	24%
	No Answer	6%	56%	44%
Governor Vote	Cruz M. Bustamante	34%	10%	90%
	Peter Miguel Camejo	4%	19%	81%
	Arianna Huffington	1%	*	*
	Tom McClintock	12%	74%	26%
	Arnold Schwarzenegger	46%	92%	8%
	Someone Else	3%	*	*
Proposition 54 Vote	Yes	38%	78%	22%
Proposition 54 Vote	No	62%	39%	61%
Recall Vote by Proposition 54	Yes both Recall & Prop 54	30%	100%	0%
	Yes Recall but No Prop 54	24%	100%	0%
	No Recall but Yes Prop 54	8%	0%	100%
	No both Recall & Prop 54	38%	0%	100%
Recall by Replacement vote	Yes - Bustamante	3%	*	*
	Yes - Schwarzenegger	41%	100%	0%
	Yes - Other/No Vote	12%	100%	0%
	No - Bustamante	30%	0%	100%
	No - Schwarzenegger	4%	0%	100%
	No - Other/No Vote	10%	0%	100%
California Geocodes	Los Angeles County	24%	47%	53%
	Southern California	28%	71%	29%
	Bay Area	18%	33%	67%
	Coastal	11%	45%	55%
	Inland/Valley	18%	69%	31%
Exit poll/Telephone poll	Exit poll	75%	54%	46%
Exit poll/Telephone poll	Telephone poll	25%	58%	42%

NOTE
• Exit polls are a survey of selected voters taken (typically by the media) soon after they leave their voting place. Pollsters use this sample information, collected from a small percentage of voters, to track and project how all voters or a specific segments of the voters sided on a particular race or ballot measure. For more on how CNN conducts and uses exit polls, click here.

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