U.S. PRESIDENT / ARIZONA / EXIT POLL
|
1,907 Respondents |
Updated: 2:05 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Male (47%) |
58% |
+5 |
41% |
|
Female (53%) |
52% |
+5 |
47% |
|
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White Men (37%) |
63% |
n/a |
36% |
|
White Women (42%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
|
Non-White Men (10%) |
39% |
n/a |
60% |
|
Non-White Women (11%) |
45% |
n/a |
54% |
|
VOTE BY RACE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
White (79%) |
59% |
+2 |
41% |
|
African-American (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Latino (12%) |
43% |
+9 |
56% |
|
Asian (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (5%) |
42% |
n/a |
56% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-29 (15%) |
50% |
+0 |
48% |
|
30-44 (28%) |
61% |
+13 |
38% |
|
45-59 (32%) |
53% |
+4 |
47% |
|
60 and Older (25%) |
55% |
+2 |
45% |
|
VOTE BY AGE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
18-64 (82%) |
55% |
+7 |
44% |
|
65 and Older (18%) |
56% |
-3 |
43% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Under $15,000 (8%) |
52% |
n/a |
47% |
|
$15-30,000 (13%) |
41% |
n/a |
57% |
|
$30-50,000 (20%) |
51% |
n/a |
49% |
|
$50-75,000 (20%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
|
$75-100,000 (14%) |
62% |
n/a |
37% |
|
$100-150,000 (12%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
|
$150-200,000 (3%) |
52% |
n/a |
48% |
|
$200,000 or More (4%) |
63% |
n/a |
37% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $50,000 (44%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
$50,000 or More (56%) |
58% |
n/a |
42% |
|
VOTE BY INCOME |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Less Than $100,000 (80%) |
53% |
n/a |
46% |
|
$100,000 or More (20%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No High School (4%) |
39% |
n/a |
59% |
|
H.S. Graduate (17%) |
55% |
+3 |
44% |
|
Some College (35%) |
63% |
+11 |
36% |
|
College Graduate (26%) |
54% |
+2 |
46% |
|
Postgrad Study (18%) |
43% |
n/a |
56% |
|
VOTE BY EDUCATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No College Degree (56%) |
59% |
n/a |
40% |
|
College Graduate (44%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
|
VOTE BY PARTY ID |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (30%) |
11% |
n/a |
89% |
|
Republican (44%) |
89% |
+2 |
11% |
|
Independent (26%) |
46% |
+1 |
52% |
|
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Liberal (19%) |
13% |
n/a |
86% |
|
Moderate (43%) |
47% |
+5 |
52% |
|
Conservative (38%) |
84% |
+3 |
15% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
No (13%) |
53% |
n/a |
45% |
|
Yes (87%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
|
HAVE YOU EVER SERVED IN THE MILITARY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (20%) |
61% |
n/a |
37% |
|
No (80%) |
54% |
n/a |
46% |
|
VOTE BY RELIGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Protestant (53%) |
67% |
+5 |
32% |
|
Catholic (23%) |
52% |
+9 |
47% |
|
Jewish (2%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Other (6%) |
30% |
+4 |
69% |
|
None (15%) |
29% |
-6 |
70% |
|
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (17%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
|
No (83%) |
48% |
n/a |
51% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today (5%) |
34% |
n/a |
62% |
|
Last Three Days (3%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Last Week (1%) |
* |
n/a |
* |
|
Last Month (10%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
|
Before That (80%) |
58% |
n/a |
41% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Today/Last 3 Days (8%) |
40% |
n/a |
57% |
|
Earlier Than That (92%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
|
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Within the Last Week (9%) |
40% |
n/a |
57% |
|
Earlier Than That (91%) |
57% |
n/a |
42% |
|
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
For Your Candidate (70%) |
67% |
n/a |
33% |
|
Against His Opponent (26%) |
29% |
n/a |
70% |
|
STATE ECONOMY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Excellent (8%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
|
Good (55%) |
70% |
n/a |
30% |
|
Not So Good (28%) |
31% |
n/a |
68% |
|
Poor (7%) |
15% |
n/a |
85% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (38%) |
97% |
n/a |
3% |
|
Somewhat Approve (20%) |
83% |
n/a |
16% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (10%) |
12% |
n/a |
83% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (31%) |
2% |
n/a |
98% |
|
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (57%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
|
Disapprove (42%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Taxes (4%) |
67% |
n/a |
28% |
|
Education (5%) |
29% |
n/a |
69% |
|
Iraq (21%) |
25% |
n/a |
75% |
|
Terrorism (22%) |
88% |
n/a |
12% |
|
Economy/Jobs (13%) |
27% |
n/a |
72% |
|
Moral Values (22%) |
81% |
n/a |
18% |
|
Health Care (7%) |
22% |
n/a |
78% |
|
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Cares About People (8%) |
35% |
n/a |
65% |
|
Religious Faith (9%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
|
Honest/Trustworthy (14%) |
69% |
n/a |
30% |
|
Strong Leader (22%) |
89% |
n/a |
11% |
|
Intelligent (8%) |
6% |
n/a |
94% |
|
Will Bring Change (22%) |
5% |
n/a |
93% |
|
Clear Stand on Issue (13%) |
85% |
n/a |
13% |
|
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Safer From Terrorism (56%) |
84% |
n/a |
16% |
|
Less Safe (39%) |
16% |
n/a |
82% |
|
MCCAIN SUPPORT FOR BUSH MADE YOU... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
More Likely for Bush (13%) |
88% |
n/a |
12% |
|
Less Likely for Bush (6%) |
14% |
n/a |
84% |
|
No Effect (80%) |
54% |
n/a |
45% |
|
LEGAL IMMIGRATION SHOULD BE... |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Increased (22%) |
50% |
n/a |
49% |
|
Decreased (36%) |
61% |
n/a |
38% |
|
Kept the Same (37%) |
55% |
n/a |
44% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Strongly Approve (33%) |
96% |
n/a |
3% |
|
Somewhat Approve (22%) |
80% |
n/a |
20% |
|
Somewhat Disapprove (13%) |
28% |
n/a |
69% |
|
Strongly Disapprove (30%) |
4% |
n/a |
95% |
|
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Approve (55%) |
90% |
n/a |
10% |
|
Disapprove (42%) |
11% |
n/a |
88% |
|
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Very Well (11%) |
97% |
n/a |
3% |
|
Somewhat Well (39%) |
92% |
n/a |
8% |
|
Somewhat Badly (18%) |
36% |
n/a |
62% |
|
Very Badly (31%) |
5% |
n/a |
94% |
|
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Well (50%) |
93% |
n/a |
7% |
|
Badly (48%) |
16% |
n/a |
83% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (41%) |
14% |
n/a |
86% |
|
No (56%) |
87% |
n/a |
11% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (55%) |
92% |
n/a |
7% |
|
No (45%) |
11% |
n/a |
87% |
|
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Better (34%) |
87% |
+45 |
12% |
|
Worse (23%) |
22% |
-39 |
77% |
|
Same (42%) |
47% |
-8 |
52% |
|
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (38%) |
9% |
n/a |
90% |
|
No (59%) |
86% |
n/a |
13% |
|
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM? |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Yes (61%) |
86% |
n/a |
14% |
|
No (36%) |
5% |
n/a |
93% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Big Cities (24%) |
49% |
n/a |
50% |
|
Smaller Cities (24%) |
47% |
n/a |
53% |
|
Suburbs (38%) |
59% |
n/a |
39% |
|
Small Towns (9%) |
69% |
n/a |
31% |
|
Rural (5%) |
56% |
n/a |
44% |
|
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Urban (51%) |
50% |
n/a |
50% |
|
Suburban (35%) |
59% |
n/a |
39% |
|
Rural (15%) |
66% |
n/a |
34% |
|
VOTE BY REGION |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Maricopa County (57%) |
57% |
n/a |
42% |
|
Pima/Pinal/Sta Cruz (23%) |
48% |
n/a |
52% |
|
Rest of Arizona (20%) |
57% |
n/a |
43% |
|
VOTE FOR U.S. SENATE |
| BUSH |
|
|
KERRY |
TOTAL |
2004 |
2000 |
2004 |
|
Democrat (20%) |
7% |
n/a |
93% |
|
Republican (77%) |
67% |
n/a |
33% |
|
|
|
|