U.S. SENATE / FLORIDA / EXIT POLL
 |
| 2,787 Respondents |
Updated: 2:05 p.m. |
VOTE BY GENDER
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Male (46%) |
44% |
53% |
| Female (54%) |
53% |
46% |
VOTE BY RACE AND GENDER
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| White Men (32%) |
41% |
57% |
| White Women (38%) |
49% |
49% |
| Non-White Men (14%) |
50% |
46% |
| Non-White Women (16%) |
61% |
38% |
VOTE BY RACE
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| White (70%) |
45% |
53% |
| African-American (12%) |
85% |
13% |
| Latino (15%) |
39% |
60% |
| Asian (1%) |
* |
* |
| Other (2%) |
22% |
71% |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| 18-29 (17%) |
57% |
41% |
| 30-44 (27%) |
46% |
51% |
| 45-59 (28%) |
45% |
53% |
| 60 and Older (27%) |
49% |
49% |
VOTE BY AGE
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| 18-64 (81%) |
48% |
50% |
| 65 and Older (19%) |
50% |
48% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Under $15,000 (9%) |
57% |
39% |
| $15-30,000 (15%) |
60% |
36% |
| $30-50,000 (22%) |
52% |
47% |
| $50-75,000 (21%) |
46% |
52% |
| $75-100,000 (14%) |
43% |
55% |
| $100-150,000 (10%) |
44% |
53% |
| $150-200,000 (4%) |
39% |
61% |
| $200,000 or More (5%) |
41% |
59% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Less Than $50,000 (46%) |
55% |
42% |
| $50,000 or More (54%) |
44% |
54% |
VOTE BY INCOME
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Less Than $100,000 (82%) |
51% |
47% |
| $100,000 or More (18%) |
43% |
56% |
VOTE BY EDUCATION
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| No High School (3%) |
54% |
45% |
| H.S. Graduate (21%) |
51% |
46% |
| Some College (34%) |
49% |
48% |
| College Graduate (26%) |
44% |
53% |
| Postgrad Study (16%) |
48% |
51% |
VOTE BY EDUCATION
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| No College Degree (58%) |
50% |
47% |
| College Graduate (42%) |
45% |
52% |
VOTE BY PARTY ID
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Democrat (37%) |
85% |
12% |
| Republican (41%) |
8% |
90% |
| Independent (23%) |
59% |
38% |
VOTE BY IDEOLOGY
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Liberal (20%) |
80% |
19% |
| Moderate (47%) |
57% |
41% |
| Conservative (34%) |
18% |
80% |
HAVE YOU EVER VOTED BEFORE?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| No (12%) |
55% |
44% |
| Yes (88%) |
48% |
50% |
VOTE BY RELIGION
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Protestant (51%) |
43% |
55% |
| Catholic (27%) |
41% |
56% |
| Jewish (6%) |
78% |
22% |
| Other (5%) |
68% |
30% |
| None (11%) |
71% |
26% |
ARE YOU A WHITE CONSERVATIVE PROTESTANT?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Yes (15%) |
12% |
87% |
| No (85%) |
56% |
42% |
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| More Than Weekly (13%) |
38% |
60% |
| Weekly (23%) |
38% |
59% |
| Monthly (16%) |
50% |
47% |
| A Few Times a Year (29%) |
53% |
45% |
| Never (17%) |
62% |
36% |
VOTE BY CHURCH ATTENDANCE
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Weekly (35%) |
38% |
60% |
| Occasionally (44%) |
52% |
46% |
| Never (17%) |
62% |
36% |
VOTE BY RELIGION AND ATTENDANCE
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Protestant/Weekly (13%) |
35% |
63% |
| Prot./Less Often (16%) |
45% |
55% |
| Catholic/Weekly (11%) |
33% |
62% |
| Catholic/Less Often (15%) |
47% |
51% |
| All Others (42%) |
59% |
39% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Today (5%) |
54% |
39% |
| Last Three Days (2%) |
* |
* |
| Last Week (3%) |
72% |
20% |
| Last Month (12%) |
61% |
38% |
| Before That (77%) |
45% |
52% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Today/Last 3 Days (8%) |
53% |
41% |
| Earlier Than That (92%) |
48% |
49% |
WHEN DID YOU DECIDE WHO TO VOTE FOR?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Within the Last Week (11%) |
59% |
35% |
| Earlier Than That (89%) |
47% |
51% |
YOUR VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WAS MOSTLY...
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| For Your Candidate (69%) |
41% |
57% |
| Against His Opponent (27%) |
70% |
27% |
STATE ECONOMY
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Excellent (9%) |
15% |
84% |
| Good (52%) |
32% |
66% |
| Not So Good (28%) |
78% |
19% |
| Poor (9%) |
89% |
8% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Strongly Approve (36%) |
8% |
91% |
| Somewhat Approve (18%) |
29% |
68% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (11%) |
77% |
19% |
| Strongly Disapprove (33%) |
93% |
4% |
HOW BUSH IS HANDLING HIS JOB
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Approve (54%) |
15% |
83% |
| Disapprove (45%) |
89% |
8% |
MOST IMPORTANT ISSUE
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Taxes (5%) |
34% |
66% |
| Education (4%) |
74% |
25% |
| Iraq (17%) |
72% |
25% |
| Terrorism (24%) |
19% |
80% |
| Economy/Jobs (17%) |
84% |
13% |
| Moral Values (20%) |
22% |
74% |
| Health Care (8%) |
78% |
21% |
MOST IMPORTANT QUALITY
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Cares About People (11%) |
69% |
28% |
| Religious Faith (7%) |
15% |
83% |
| Honest/Trustworthy (11%) |
26% |
72% |
| Strong Leader (19%) |
19% |
79% |
| Intelligent (7%) |
86% |
13% |
| Will Bring Change (23%) |
90% |
7% |
| Clear Stand on Issue (16%) |
23% |
74% |
COMPARED TO FOUR YEARS AGO, U.S. IS...
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Safer From Terrorism (56%) |
21% |
77% |
| Less Safe (41%) |
85% |
13% |
GOVERNMENT RESPONSE TO HURRICANES
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Approve (87%) |
44% |
53% |
| Disapprove (10%) |
80% |
20% |
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Very Confident (38%) |
22% |
76% |
| Somewhat Confident (38%) |
53% |
44% |
| Not Very Confident (19%) |
78% |
17% |
| Not At All Confident (6%) |
92% |
8% |
WILL VOTES BE COUNTED ACCURATELY?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Confident (73%) |
38% |
60% |
| Not Confident (24%) |
82% |
14% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Strongly Approve (32%) |
9% |
90% |
| Somewhat Approve (22%) |
30% |
68% |
| Somewhat Disapprove (14%) |
74% |
21% |
| Strongly Disapprove (31%) |
92% |
6% |
DECISION TO GO TO WAR IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Approve (53%) |
17% |
81% |
| Disapprove (44%) |
86% |
11% |
HOW THINGS ARE GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Very Well (11%) |
5% |
95% |
| Somewhat Well (35%) |
14% |
84% |
| Somewhat Badly (21%) |
67% |
30% |
| Very Badly (32%) |
89% |
7% |
HOW ARE THINGS GOING FOR U.S. IN IRAQ?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Well (45%) |
12% |
86% |
| Badly (52%) |
80% |
17% |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Yes (46%) |
83% |
15% |
| No (51%) |
17% |
80% |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE THE ECONOMY?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Yes (51%) |
12% |
85% |
| No (49%) |
85% |
12% |
FAMILY'S FINANCIAL SITUATION
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Better (34%) |
18% |
80% |
| Worse (27%) |
82% |
14% |
| Same (38%) |
51% |
46% |
WERE YOU CONTACTED BY KERRY CAMPAIGN?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Yes (35%) |
66% |
32% |
| No (65%) |
40% |
58% |
WERE YOU CONTACTED BY BUSH CAMPAIGN?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Yes (35%) |
39% |
59% |
| No (65%) |
54% |
43% |
TRUST KERRY TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Yes (41%) |
87% |
10% |
| No (56%) |
19% |
78% |
TRUST BUSH TO HANDLE TERRORISM?
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Yes (58%) |
21% |
77% |
| No (39%) |
89% |
8% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Big Cities (6%) |
33% |
66% |
| Smaller Cities (21%) |
50% |
49% |
| Suburbs (60%) |
51% |
47% |
| Small Towns (10%) |
42% |
55% |
| Rural (4%) |
42% |
56% |
VOTE BY SIZE OF COMMUNITY
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Urban (25%) |
46% |
52% |
| Suburban (61%) |
51% |
47% |
| Rural (14%) |
43% |
53% |
VOTE BY REGION
| TOTAL |
Castor |
Martinez |
| Miami Area (26%) |
58% |
40% |
| Southern Florida (14%) |
46% |
52% |
| Tampa Area (16%) |
51% |
46% |
| Central Florida (22%) |
43% |
55% |
| Northern Florida (22%) |
43% |
55% |
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