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Bush Campaign Holds Press ConferenceAired November 9, 2000 - 3:49 p.m. ET
THIS IS A RUSH TRANSCRIPT. THIS COPY MAY NOT BE IN ITS FINAL FORM AND MAY BE UPDATED.
BOBBIE BATTISTA, HOST, "TALKBACK LIVE": Arlene, I'm sorry I need to interrupt real quickly as we throw to Karen Hughes, who is George W. Bush's spokesperson. Hear what she has to say.
(JOINED IN PROGRESS)
KAREN HUGHES, BUSH CAMPAIGN COMMUNICATIONS DIRECTOR: It's virtually impossible to try to get back to all of you, and so we decided to have this briefing this afternoon in an effort to (OFF-MIKE) Governor Bush has spent the day primarily in meetings at the governor's mansion. He started the morning with an 8 a.m. meeting with members of his governor's office -- senior staff. He's also met with Condoleezza Rice -- Dr. Condi Rice, his chief foreign policy adviser. He has met several times with Secretary Cheney and with members of our senior staff and advisers.
He had lunch with Secretary Cheney. This afternoon, he is meeting with Texas Lieutenant Governor Rick Perry (ph), and, again, talking about state business and how all of this affects the state of Texas.
I'm now going to introduce to you the chairman of our campaign, Don Evans, and he has a statement from the campaign.
DONALD EVANS, BUSH CAMPAIGN CHAIRMAN: Thank you, Karen, very much.
Good afternoon, all of you. Thank you for coming.
We've had a close vote for the presidency of the United States, especially in Florida, and we must now complete an accurate recount there. We are confident that an accurate recount will verify the results of Tuesday night, and that Florida's Electoral College votes will be awarded to Governor Bush and Secretary Cheney, giving then more than the 270 Electoral College votes required for the presidency.
Vice President's Gore campaign did not like the outcome of Election Day. And it seems they're worried that they won't like the official recount results, either.
In addition, my counterpart at the Gore campaign has made some statements about ballots in Palm Beach County that don't tell the whole story. He notes that 19,000 ballots have been invalidated for over counting, casting votes for two candidates of the same office. He neglects to point out that in 1966 -- 1996, a year with much lower turnout, a similar number of 14,872 ballots were invalidated for double-counting in Palm Beach County, and statewide, 143,000 ballots were invalidated for over-counting in 1996.
The Democrats, who are politicizing and distorting these events, risk doing so at the -- at the expense of our democracy. One of the options that they seem to be looking at is new elections. Our democratic process calls for a vote on Election Day; it does not call for us to continue voting until someone likes the outcome.
Throughout this process it's important that no party to this election act in a precipitous manner or distort an existing voting pattern in an effort to misinform the public. This process requires a thoughtful, calm, serious and transparent effort.
EVANS: And that is exactly why Governor Bush and Secretary Cheney asked that former Secretary James Baker lead this effort on their behalf.
I would now like to ask our campaign chief strategist, Karl Rove, to brief you on some of the specifics of Florida and around the country.
KARL ROVE, BUSH CHIEF STRATEGIST: Thank you, Chairman.
I'd like to address three points.
First of all, there were allegations raised today about a disproportionate number of votes cast in Palm Beach County for Pat Buchanan. Not that we're defending Pat Buchanan, but to set the record straight, there are 16,695 voters in Palm Beach County who registered as a member of the Independent Party, the Reform Party or the American Reform Party, which were the labels borne this year by the reform effort in Florida. This in an increase of 110 percent over the registration totals for the same party in 1996.
Throughout the rest of Florida, the registration increase for these parties was roughly 38 percent. There are disproportionate share of Reform Party members in Palm Beach County. For example, while there are 16,695 Palm Beach County residents who have registered in the Reform Party, in the nearby county of Broward, there are only 476 individuals registered to this party.
The second thing that was talked about was the so-called confusing butterfly ballot. The Gore campaign has been handing out a somewhat hazy and fuzzy copy of it, so we are making available to you, and can do so electronically as well, a relatively clean and clear copy of the butterfly ballot, which indicates that this is not as susceptible to confusion as Chairman Daley indicated.
In fact, I really thought it was ironic that Chairman Daley went to great lengths to decry the butterfly ballot as confusing and undemocratic, because I have here the copy of the Cook County, Illinois, judicial ballot, which is a butterfly ballot.
ROVE: It's been used in a number of states, in a number of counties, and it's historically been used in Cook County, Illinois. Maybe Mr. Daley's in a better place to decry democracy and confusion in Cook County than he is in Florida, if that's really the case.
I'd also like to update you briefly on the fact that there are a continuing series of vote counts around the country which are going to affect the outcome of this election. In Colorado, there are approximately 10,000 votes, most of them from northwest Colorado, which have yet to be counted.
I talked to the governor's office in Arizona. There are 168,000 absentee ballots which are still in the process of being counted in that state, 90-some-odd thousand of them are machine ballots, 60-some- odd thousand of them are hand-count ballots. Most of these ballots are from Maricopa County where we ran better than two-to-one or 2.5- to-one among the absentee ballots that have been counted so far.
In addition, there continues to be a vote in Oregon. There are two counties in southern Oregon where they are still counting. And this is good turf for Governor Bush.
And there are approximately between 570,000 and 700,000 mail-in ballots yet to be counted in the state of Washington.
And I discussed this morning with the secretary of state's office in California that there might be as many as 1 million absentee ballots yet to be counted in California.
So we are confident that this will carry with it the likelihood of an increasing number of popular votes for Governor Bush and a diminishing margin between the two candidates.
I have copies here, which I'll be happy to provide to you afterwards, of the butterfly ballot from Cook County, Illinois.
But we'd be happy to take questions.
QUESTION: You don't think that it is at all strange that are 43 times more votes who voted for Pat Buchanan in Palm Beach County (OFF- MIKE)
ROVE: Well, I think -- the question was, do we think that there is a discrepancy with the fact that this is one of the more liberal counties in the country, that Pat Buchanan got a large number of votes there?
There are also -- he received -- roughly 5 percent of the statewide funds raised for this race in 2000 came from Palm Beach County and out of the state of Florida, roughly 5 percent of the state-wide total.
And second of all, look, there are lots of Reform Party -- Reform Party members are more likely to vote for their nominee than are people who are not registered in the Reform Party.
ROVE: And the interesting thing to me is, is that between '96 and 2000 the Reform Party labels in this county enjoyed a registration increase of 110 percent, which would tend to indicate that the people who are changing their registrations were motivated and enthusiastic, while in the rest of the state the party label only saw an increase of 38 percent.
So I think that 110 percent indicates the new converts to the Reform Party in that part of the state are probably more likely to be enthusiastic for voting for their candidate this fall.
ROVE: I'm the numbers guy. I'd be happy to yield to the chairman.
EVANS: Well, I think the important thing to focus on right now is the outcome of the recount, and that's where really our focus is. Do you need to be thinking about governing the country? Certainly you do. I mean, we know what the results were from election night, and so it's only appropriate that the governor begin to think about governing this country.
But right now we're focused on the recount that we think will be concluded today, and once we get that recount then we'll be making a statement from there.
EVANS: Well, again, I mean we had a count on Election Day; this is the recount, and it's an automatic recount. And so I think if the recount shows that -- it confirms the Election Day results, which said that Governor Bush had been elected president of the United States, then I think it's only appropriate that, yes, he be thinks that's final.
QUESTION: I think the networks were the ones who declared the official (OFF-MIKE) that he won. And in this recount, it seems that there's been a diminishing of the margin between Governor Bush and Al Gore so far. If that margin stays small enough then the remaining overseas absentee ballots are probably more numerous than that margin, will you have to wait before you begin to act as (OFF-MIKE)
EVANS: Well, the overseas ballots have been traditionally overwhelmingly Republican. Bob Dole won them by 15 points in 1996 and in 1992. So I think the Democrats have conceded that the -- the overseas ballots are likely to be -- be Republican, and we agree with them.
Let me mention...
EVANS: Well, their spokesmen have been quoted to that effect, yes.
Let me add -- speaking of automatic recounts. I want to alert you that there are at least three other states in which automatic recounts are likely. The state of Wisconsin, the -- Gore's lead has shrunk to 5,050 votes. I've talked to Governor Thompson's chief of staff this morning, who says that he believes that after the Tuesday canvas, this will fall under a standard that may require a recount or offer the opportunity of a recount.
In the state of Iowa, the margin is now just several thousand votes between Vice President Gore and Governor Bush. And this -- and several ballot boxes from, we think, Republican counties have yet to be counted. This may fall under the -- the automatic trigger that is -- that exists in Iowa law.
ROVE: And there's also a recount going on, as we speak, in Bernalillo County, New Mexico, Albuquerque, the largest county in the state; 27,000 ballots were not counted on Election Night, and so they're rerunning the Bernalillo County vote as we speak. That will be concluded about 10 tonight. I talked to Senator Domenici earlier today, who said he anticipated that Governor Bush would pick up a significant number of votes, though it's unclear whether they are enough for us to carry New Mexico.
ROVE: Pardon me?
QUESTION: Is the campaign ready to take steps to support a recount in those two states?
ROVE: Well, Iowa may be an automatic recount, simply because it falls under an automatic trigger. We are waiting to see the results of the canvass Tuesday night in Wisconsin, and to be guided by Governor Thompson in this respect.
ROVE: Well, as I say, Iowa is an automatic recount. The error in New Mexico was discovered jointly by the Bush and Republican campaigns and election officials, and they're rerunning that without any...
ROVE: Not at this time.
EVANS: Not at this time.
QUESTION: What do you think the country should be taking away from this? As it is, the republic doesn't know who the next president is. And now today, there's a marked escalation in the rhetoric, accusations about fair play or unfair play, with regard to politicizing the process. What should be people make of all this?
HUGHES: Well, I think the country should look at the way the two campaigns are approaching this. We have approached this in a calm, in a thoughtful, in a responsible way. Governor Bush and Secretary Cheney asked Secretary Baker to travel to Florida on their behalf. He's someone -- a man of enormous integrity, in whom the American people can feel great confidence. The process is being governed by our laws. It is -- obviously, sometimes in a nation of elections, sometimes elections are close.
HUGHES: But we do have a process. The law in Florida has an automatic recount. There has been a final vote count that showed that Governor Bush carried the state of Florida and therefore was elected to the presidency on Tuesday night. There is now an automatic recount under way under Florida law, and I think the American people can be reassured that that recount is being conducted in a careful and thoughtful and calm and responsible way.
HUGHES: Well, I think that some of the comments made at the news conference earlier today were somewhat shrill. I think that it's troubling that Chairman Daley is making an issue without giving you all all the facts about the ballots, which Karl just explained.
I mean, I think it's certainly interesting that they're talking about double-counting. Under our laws, if someone votes twice for the same office that is an invalid ballot. And that not only occurred in this election, but it occurred in the 1996 election in comparable numbers in the same county which they're talking about, and I think that is an important fact that the American people need to know that unfortunately Chairman Daley omitted from his news conference.
QUESTION: Where is the documentary evidence on the actual (inaudible) Palm Beach County that those (inaudible) votes that you claim were invalidated because they were people voting twice?
ROVE: My understanding -- well, first of all, let me make clear about Palm Beach County.
The butterfly ballot and the ballot that was used in Palm Beach County was prepared by the election authorities in that county, who are led by an elected Democrat. Democrats designed the ballot, Democrats ran the Election Day, Democrats led the count of the ballot.
My understanding is is that the program in the machines is designed to detect instances where an individual votes for two candidates for the same office and automatically rejects those. This is done by the computer scanning the ballot and identifying a simple logic question for the computer: Did the person vote for one candidate or two candidates for this office?
QUESTION: Do you have a magic number in mind after the recount above which you'll feel justified in saying "OK, it's over with (OFF- MIKE) ROVE: Well, our view is that this is a process that on Tuesday night yielded a winner. Tonight, we're confident, or tomorrow when the numbers are -- we're confident that we will be ahead. And the process ought to move forward.
We cannot stop and wait until the last ballot struggles in in Washington state or the last ballot struggles in in Arizona or Iowa or Wisconsin before a orderly and necessary set of steps are taken.
QUESTION: Do you expect (OFF-MIKE)
ROVE: We're going to wait and see.
QUESTION: (OFF-MIKE) Is it possible a lot of that happened before (OFF-MIKE)
ROVE: Well, it could have, but I would remind you that earlier this year, one of the issues involved with the control of the Reform Party was who were registered members who could then vote for delegates to the national nominating convention of the Reform Party.
And as you recall, Pat Buchanan made an extraordinary effort to take his existing support, garnered during the '96 presidential contest, and get them to register as Reform Party members this year.
Now, remember this is a county that in 1996 gave 8,000 votes in the Republican presidential primary to Pat Buchanan. This is a county where he has an active, core group of volunteers, lead by a relative. And this is a county that has been a disproportionate share of his money, out of the state of Florida, and it's a part of the country where there are enclaves of strong conservatives.
And, yes, I suspect that if you go back and examine the record, you will find that the reason for the dramatic expansion of the registration rolls is the effort of Pat Buchanan to make certain that he was the nominee of the Reform Party.
Remember, Florida was originally a non-Buchanan state, was in the Reform Party. In fact, the anti-Buchanan chairman came from Florida.
QUESTION: Karl, you said a (OFF-MIKE) number of uncounted ballots across the country, and the number of ballots that would be recounted in various states, are you suggesting that truly there's a chance that Governor Bush will move ahead in the popular vote?
ROVE: Well, I just -- I suggest that we're likely to see the margin close. And we ought to -- if we're going to make -- if people are going to make strong statements based on the popular vote, as it exists now, we -- we ought to temper them, because there are a large number of -- of popular votes still outstanding.
I'm not suggesting that the absentee ballots will necessarily change the outcome in Arizona, they won't. Our margin in Arizona will continue to rise. I'm not certain that they will change the outcome in California, though, I do believe that -- that the margin between Vice President Gore and us in California is likely to diminish.
ROVE: I can assure you, there's not going to be a party tonight. As you know, we're meeting at the Dell Community Center because every facility in the city of Austin is booked. And while we're grateful for Michael Dell's gift to the community -- to the people of Austin, in the community center, there's physically no place to do it.
QUESTION: How is the governor doing? What's going through his mind?
HUGHES: Well, obviously, the governor is very interested in the situation in Florida. He is receiving regular updates from Secretary Baker. He is very calm. He's upbeat. I spoke to him by telephone early this morning, and he told me I had better get to the office because there was a lot going on. And he said that it sounded from my voice like I was sleepy. Unfortunately, it was that I was sleepy, it was just that I'm losing my voice from talking so much.
He is upbeat. He has been in a series, as I said, all day of meetings, and is beginning to think through, as Chairman Evans indicated -- beginning to through some of the planning for a transition, should the vote tonight confirm that that is, in fact, the outcome of this election.
QUESTION: Does he not have some concern that all the controversy surrounding this will have some impact on his presidency, should he prevail, that this will always be a cloud over the presidency?
HUGHES: Well, David, first of all, I would point out that Governor Bush, in this election, has received more popular votes than President Clinton did in either of his two elections, in either 1996 or in 1992.
HUGHES: So Governor Bush has obviously earned a great deal of support and the confidence of the American people in the course of this election.
We'll let you -- we'll have to see the results of today's recount. There is a recount -- an automatic recount under way. We've had one final count, on Tuesday night, and now we've got a recount under way.
HUGHES: I wouldn't say a great deal of time at this point. There have been some discussions -- some preliminary discussions. As you know, those started back before the election, and both candidates, both campaigns -- I think all responsible campaigns realize that you need to do some preliminary planning prior to even Election Day. So there are some discussions.
But I would say that most of our staff time, most of our discussions and most of Governor Bush's time today has been -- he's talked with his state officials on state government business. He's also been receiving -- I think most of the meeting that I was in with him we were getting an update on the situation in Florida.
HUGHES: Well, under our American democratic system what matters is who earns 270 Electoral College votes. But I was just pointing out that I do think the people who raise the issue of the popular vote, it is interesting to look at it in context and realize that Governor Bush earned more popular votes than President Clinton did during both of his two previous elections -- Don.
HUGHES: Well, I think that all these "if" questions start with "if" for a reason. And I think what we'll have to do is -- we'll be glad to answer those kind of questions once this recount is complete.
ROVE: All right. There's -- officially, when you're talking about large quantities of votes there tend to be differences. But what's interesting to me is, of the 67 counties in Florida, there are either exactly the same results or virtually the same results, that is to say within 1, or 2, or 3, or 4, or 5 votes, in probably 63 of the 67 counties or 64 -- or 62 of the 67 counties. The changes in the ballots have been largely isolated to several counties, the most prominent of which is Palm Beach.
In fact, we have sent a letter to the Palm Beach authorities raising a question, because if you look at the number of ballots that they said on Election Night had been cast in the county and compare it to the precinct-by-precinct canvass that was conducted yesterday, the number of ballots in each of those reports, the Tuesday night report and the Wednesday report, are virtually the same.
ROVE: However, if you look at their certification to the state, they show 800 more ballots than they had either on Tuesday night, or that you could arrive at by looking at the precinct-by-precinct summaries; 600 votes for Vice President Gore and 200 votes, roughly, for Governor Bush. So this is a disturbing difference.
But, look, it's not unusual to have a one- or two-point -- or one- or two-vote difference in a county tabulation. What's interesting to me, is how many counties reflected no difference and how many counties had only one or two.
But the one county that has the largest discrepancy between Tuesday night's vote total and Wednesday's canvass, and then the number that they're apparently submitting to the state is Palm Beach County.
QUESTION: ... does it look the same way, the...
ROVE: They're -- no, the first page is different. On the butterfly ballot in Chicago they placed the presidential race on a different page from -- you have to turn that page in order to get there. You would have to turn it back, from here.
QUESTION: I know, but one of questions is, is it laid out the same way? You're suggesting that the county was equally as confusing, that that's what it is to Palm Beach.
ROVE: What I'm suggesting is, Bill Daley's standard, which is, you should not use a butterfly ballot, because it is undemocratic and confusing, is questionable, given the fact that Cook County uses the same ballot, as do the state of Ohio, for example, and a large number of other states.
QUESTION: (OFF-MIKE) it doesn't look like that for the office of president, does it?
ROVE: I can't recall the specifics of that page. But it's a butterfly ballot, which is -- which is the point of his remarks.
ROVE: Pardon me? It's the same structure, yes. There are holes beside each one of these arrows. So you can have the same situation.
ROVE: Well, here you have -- yes, you can have three names right here. Here's one, here's one and here's one. You could have three options next to one name.
ROVE: I believe that we have an Election Day for the purpose of having an election. And in this country at least we don't follow the practice of some other countries in the world and hold elections and hold elections until somebody gets the outcome that they desire -- in the place that they want to have the election.
QUESTION: Given that the polls were open later (OFF-MIKE) more than likely Democratic candidates. What's your thought?
ROVE: It was in the city of St. Louis the polls were kept open for some hours after the close of the polls in the rest of the state. I know Senator Kit Bond feels very strongly about this. We've not taken a position on it. It does affect the outcome, we think, of the presidential race. They're compiling information about how much it may have affected the presidential contest, but we've taken no steps beyond that.
HUGHES: Thank you all very much. Thank you.
QUESTION: If, in fact, you get the announcement in Florida, whatever it is, will we see your face again? (OFF-MIKE)
HUGHES: I will be glad to brief you no matter what the outcome is. As soon as we know an outcome, we will let you know and we'll have some sort of formal briefing and let you know. We'll let you know.
HUGHES: No, it was not.
HUGHES: I'm sorry? I don't know that decision's been made yet. We will keep you posted.
HUGHES: Again, if we know tonight. We don't know for certain yet -- the secretary of state requested that all the counties certify the recount by 5 p.m. today.
HUGHES: We do not know yet whether that, in fact, will be accomplished. There's no -- almost all of them have completed, that's correct. I believe there are still eight or nine that have not completed it. So we just have to wait until we hear from the state of Florida.
HUGHES: Again, those are the types of decisions we'll have to make once we complete the recount.
Thank you all.
LOU WATERS, CNN ANCHOR: All right, Bush campaign officials meeting with reporters in Austin, Texas, about one, the recount, which you saw on your screen numbers being posted by Associated Press. There are about six Florida counties remaining before that recount has been completed.
They had said 5:00 p.m. Eastern would be the completion time: both campaigns saying they're not sure that they can be held to that. One of the purposes of this briefing with reporters in Austin was to challenge some of the Democratic assertions about several matters regarding voting in Palm Beach County, Florida. Bill Schneider, senior political analyst, is with us.
One point was that Pat Buchanan got an inordinate number of votes, something the Democrats say was an irregularity. I guess that's how they put it. Republicans are saying, because of the 110 percent increase since 1996 in the number of registered voters belonging to the Independent, Reform, or American Reform Party, that accounts for that.
WILLIAM SCHNEIDER, CNN. SR. POLITICAL ANALYST: That's a tough argument to make. And I, frankly, don't know that Karl Rove and the Bush campaign really want to go down that path. Even Pat Buchanan has gone on air in an interview and said he doesn't think all those people in Palm Beach County meant to vote for him. And he doesn't claim all those votes.
It was an extraordinary number of voters. I think it was something like 17 percent of his vote in Florida came from Palm Beach County. Even Pat Buchanan says unlikely. So I'm not sure that it is wise for Bush campaign to be defending the validity of the Buchanan vote in Palm Beach. There are arguments they can make, but that's not their best one.
WATERS: The second argument that Karl Rove wanted to make was about the so-called confusing butterfly ballot, which 19,000 of have been tossed out in Palm Beach County, because of double-punching. The way it was laid out, they said, was, in the words of the Democrats: "confusing and undemocratic." Also, the former secretary of state said it was illegal.
So there's some debate in Florida about this ballot and Karl Rove holding up the Cook County ballot, saying here is a butterfly ballot for you. That's what you were talking about earlier, you run down this road in Florida and you are going to have to run down other roads in other places.
SCHNEIDER: That's right. It's an indication that the Bush campaign is fully prepared to raise challenges all over the country. Karl Rove and Karen Hughes talked about recounts going on in states that Gore carried very narrowly, like Iowa, Wisconsin and New Mexico. What, essentially, they are doing, is saying to the Bush -- to the Gore campaign: if you try to get us on technicalities in Florida, we are going to get you on technicalities in Iowa, Wisconsin, New Mexico and possibly Oregon. We don't have a winner there yet; that Gore may have carried very narrowly.
This is a very treacherous path. I mean, one of the questioners talked about escalation in the rhetoric that we've seen and the politicization of this process. This is very dangerous for people on both sides.
WATERS: What are some of the dangers here?
SCHNEIDER: The dangers are that the country will suddenly have doubts about the validity of the process. The dangers are that the candidates will look like they will do anything to win and ruin their own reputations and ability to lead the country by winning a disputed election. By hook or crook, they're desperate to win. And also, you know, there's a danger here that they can, I think, create a constitutional problem. You know, they can throw this whole process into the courts, delay the Electoral College vote.
Look, there's no question that there was confusion over the ballot in Palm Beach County and that the results are extremely anomalous. They don't look logical. But that's the case in a lot places around the country. And at some point, you have to say, you know, where -- and the candidates have to say this. They have to say, the results are there. You know, we have to accept them. They have to preserve their political standing in this process, too. And I think that by getting involved in this kind of squabble, they are not doing themselves any good.
WATERS: Now, we're siting here, waiting for the Florida recount to become complete. When that happens, I don't know, some time maybe before 7:00 p.m. Eastern tonight. But both sides were asked today when that recount is completed, if your man is ahead, will you declare yourself a winner? That question was asked of both campaigns and neither campaign answered the question.
SCHNEIDER: Well, I think they are waiting to see what the margin is. I mean, the margin for Bush has been diminishing in Florida. It's now, with 61 counties recounted, it's now only 405 votes. Well, let's assume the margin stays at about that level, a few hundred votes when the results are announced. I think it will be hard to declare yourself a winner and have victory celebrations, and transition teams. That would be inadvisable because you have a couple of thousand, my recollection is 2,300 overseas ballots yet to be counted. They could easily change that margin.
You are, provisionally, perhaps, the winner and you may claim to be the winner based on the counting around the country and number of electoral votes called. But I wouldn't have any big celebrations yet. That appears arrogant and presumptuous. Again, don't politicize this process. If it is that close when the count is in, you better wait until every single last vote is counted there and in other states that Karl Rove said ballots are still being counted, including maybe a million in California.
WATERS: Because he mentioned all these votes that still haven't been counted, he seemed especially sensitive about the amount of the popular vote and the fact that Democrats have been saying Al Gore has, so far, gotten the greatest number of popular votes, therefore, whatever.
SCHNEIDER: Just the national popular vote, which is the number that has moral standing and has political standing but it has no constitutional standing. The only number that has constitutional standing is the electoral vote. Two hundred and seventy are needed to win. If a president is elected with the electoral vote, according to the Constitution, but loses the popular vote, then there are questions about his legitimacy as the man who won the election. There are moral questions. He can still take office and I think people wouldn't dispute it. And I think he would be able to govern. But he would have to be very, very cautious about what kind of mandate he is claiming because he came in second in the popular vote.
That's why Karl Rove was saying that the popular vote may diminish, but he took care to say he did not think it was necessarily going to be reversed. That's a problem concerning the Electoral College and my guess is if it turns out that the guy becomes president didn't win the popular vote, there's going to be a lot of proposals about changing the Electoral College system.
WATERS: Weird question: what is happening tomorrow? What are the candidates talking with their advisers about?
SCHNEIDER: How far to push this thing, what is it worth to win this election. Is it worth creating a constitutional crisis? Is it worth looking desperate to win? Is it worth compromising your ability to lead the country to win the election? Both candidates have to ask that question: How far should we push this? Do you want to win on a technicality or not?
WATERS: Senior political analyst Bill Schneider.
Natalie Allen, what is next?
ALLEN: Well, in a couple of minutes, since Bill said that Bush's lead had diminished to four or five, it has been diminished again, apparently with 62 of the 67 counties reporting. As you can see, Bush ahead in the recount by 341 votes.
CNN's Mike Boettcher is posted in Tallahassee. He's watching the numbers come in as well -- Mike.
MIKE BOETTCHER, CNN CORRESPONDENT: It's been changing over the last 15 minutes. It went from 58 to 60 to 61, now to 62. So, we have five more counties remaining. And as you said, that vote gap beginning to narrow even more with five counties left. This is the process for the rest of the day: When all of the counties are reported today, and they expect that they will by fax or by phone, there will be a press conference here, the initial one was scheduled between 5:00 and 5:30 by the head of the division of elections here in Florida. They will announce the totals, but that could be delayed. It could go into the evening hours.
Tomorrow they hope to receive the official recount notifications from the various counties. Those should be sent here, and then recount becomes more official. Now that's different from certification. Within seven days of the election, which would be a week from last Tuesday, the election must be certified by the county level and then by the state election commission. And then, within 10 days after that, we have to have the overseas ballots certified. So, it's still a process that is going to drag out for a few days. But the most important thing we have right now on our table, the recount, seems close to being over -- Natalie.
ALLEN: And Mike, will they continue to add to the count after today and make it public as far as the effects these absentee ballots are having on the final count as they come in? Has the state said how it is going to handle that?
BOETTCHER: That's a very good question and I will find that out for you. I can't answer that exactly. What they keep telling us is, is that they have to certify those ballots within 10 days. And it is a matter, really, if you divide it between ballots received on election day and before and ballots received after election day. They'll keep continual tabs on those but they're kept at the county level. They are not sent in to the state, the ballots aren't. Those overseas ballots are sent back to the counties and then the counties must get those totals within that 10-day period and then certify them and then have them sent up to the state for certification.
The big question is how many of those ballots are still out there, and, frankly, nobody knows, and no one is saying. And it's a very difficult figure and all they can go by is history. Four years ago there were 2,300 of those ballots that were returned in the presidential election. And the majority of those, 54 percent, went to Dole and the rest went to President Clinton, even though Clinton won the state. So, that's the other thing to look for if this narrows up even more because that could make a difference. So, we might not know for several days if this figure keeps in that 300, 400 area that it is right now, 341 to be exact. The gap between Governor Bush and Vice President Gore -- Natalie.
ALLEN: And so, again, they had hoped that this recount would be finished up by the end of business day, today, which would be 5:00 p.m. Eastern but they may or may not make that, correct?
BOETTCHER: My gut tells me that they will make it. But they had said that they want to be absolutely sure, and they are kind of at the mercy of the counties out there. If they have five counties remaining, there's nothing, really, that the division of elections here can do about that if the counties drag behind. Basically, all they are doing up there is adding those figures. They are not inspecting ballots or anything else. They are taking the figures from the counties and adding them up.
So, if there are five counties -- and we'll try to identify what five counties those are -- if those five counties are running behind, well, we are just going to have to wait on those five counties. But we are going to try to find out now what those are.
ALLEN: OK, well, we will keep in contact with you, then. Mike Boettcher in Tallahassee, thanks.
Of course, the one county that Democrats have a lot of questions about, regarding how this vote took place there, is Palm Beach County. We will go there live for a report when we come back.
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