Over the weekend at Camp David, Republican congressional leaders huddled with President Donald Trump to talk about, among other things, the 2018 election. It was a “constructive” discussion that was “grounded in reality,” according to a source familiar with the talks, report my colleagues Phil Mattingly, Jeff Zeleny and David Wright. The reality – and I’m not sure how much of this was accurately conveyed to Trump – is that every leading indicator points to a wave headed Republicans’ way that could well deliver control of the House to Democrats in 2019. Here are four numbers that tell the story (with a special thank you to super-lobbyist Bruce Mehlman’s always terrific quarterly PowerPoint): The Point: Yes, there are exceptions to every political rule. And Trump proved he could buck conventional wisdom by winning in 2016. But Trump’s current approval numbers and the massive weight of electoral history suggest that Republicans are in very deep trouble heading into the 2018 midterm. Very deep trouble. Read Monday’s full edition of The Point newsletter.
