Republicans have carried North Carolina in 11 of the last 13 presidential elections. Democrats Jimmy Carter and Barack Obama won in 1976 and 2008, respectively. North Carolina is one of two states Obama won in 2008 but lost in 2012 (Indiana is the other). See 2020 primary results
COUNTIES TO WATCH
Home to Charlotte and its suburbs, this population center has broken heavily for Democrats in the last three presidential elections as its population has ballooned.
Another fast-growing population center, Wake County, in the heart of the state's Research Triangle, has shifted Democratic recently. But the county gave Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper over 12,000 more votes than it did Hillary Clinton in the 2016 election, the largest gap in any county in the state between his winning campaign and her losing one.
New Hanover County
Republicans have carried New Hanover in all recent presidential years, but their winning margin in the county has been as narrow as 0.6 percentage points in 2008. In 2016, Trump topped Clinton there by about 4 points.
A majority Black county that's home to Roanoke Rapids, turnout is the thing to watch here. Hillary Clinton won fewer votes here than did Barack Obama in either of his campaigns.