2022 midterm election results

By Aditi Sangal, Adrienne Vogt, Elise Hammond, Maureen Chowdhury, Clare Foran, Meg Wagner, Melissa Macaya, Joe Ruiz and Seán Federico-OMurchú, CNN

Updated 5:55 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022
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4:34 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

Multiple vehement election deniers will lose their gubernatorial races, CNN projects

From CNN's Daniel Dale 

Some of the most aggressive deniers of the 2020 election results will lose their 2022 gubernatorial races, CNN projects.

CNN found that at least 22 of the 36 Republican candidates for governor have rejected, declined to affirm, raised doubts about, or tried to overturn President Joe Biden’s victory.

Here are some of the candidates CNN projects will lose:

  • Doug Mastriano of Pennsylvania, who made extensive efforts to try to overturn Biden’s win. (As governor, Mastriano would have had the power to appoint the state elections chief.)
  • Dan Cox of Maryland, who said he didn’t recognize Biden as the president and who co-organized buses to the “Stop the Steal” rally on January 6, 2021.
  • Paul LePage of Maine, who falsely claimed that 2020 was “clearly a stolen election.”
  • Lee Zeldin of New York, who, as a member of Congress, voted against certifying Biden’s victories in Pennsylvania and Arizona.
  • Geoff Diehl of Massachusetts, who said in mid-2021 that the election wasn’t stolen but by 2022 was saying that it was certainly stolen.
  • Scott Jensen of Minnesota, who refused to affirm the legitimacy of Biden’s win and who baselessly suggested imprisoning the state’s Democratic elections chief. 
  • Tim Michels of Wisconsin, who baselessly claimed that “President Trump probably would be president right now if we had election integrity.”
  • Tudor Dixon of Michigan, who falsely claimed Trump won Michigan in 2020 even though he actually lost by more than 154,000 votes. 
  • Heidi Ganahl of Colorado, who refused on multiple occasions to say whether Biden was the legitimate winner and then selected a promoter of false election conspiracy theories as her running mate.

Some incumbents who denied or questioned the election results will win, CNN projects. They include:

  • Kay Ivey of Alabama, who ran an ad during her Republican primary that falsely claimed the 2020 election was stolen from Trump.
  • Brad Little of Idaho, who endorsed the Texas-led lawsuit in 2020 that sought to get the Supreme Court to overturn Biden’s win.
  • Kim Reynolds of Iowa, who expressed support for that Texas-led lawsuit (though she later said Biden was legitimately elected).
  • Greg Abbott of Texas, who also expressed support for the lawsuit led by the attorney general of his state. 
  • Kristi Noem of South Dakota, who baselessly claimed on Twitter that Trump was fighting “rigged election systems” and hinted that there were issues in “Democrat-run” states.
4:56 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

CNN Projection: Democrat Chris Pappas will win reelection in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District 

From CNN’s Gregory Krieg 

Rep. Chris Pappas is congratulated by supporters at an election night gathering in Manchester, New Hampshire on Tuesday, November 8.
Rep. Chris Pappas is congratulated by supporters at an election night gathering in Manchester, New Hampshire on Tuesday, November 8. (Charles Krupa/AP)

Democratic Rep. Chris Pappas will win reelection in New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District, CNN projects, keeping the swing seat in Democratic hands by defeating Karoline Leavitt, who worked as a press aide to former President Donald Trump. 

 

4:31 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

CNN Projection: Republican Derrick Van Orden will win in Wisconsin’s 3rd District  

From CNN staff 

Derrick Van Orden speaks to guests during a rally in August in Waukesha, Wisconsin.
Derrick Van Orden speaks to guests during a rally in August in Waukesha, Wisconsin. (Scott Olson/Getty Images/FILE)

Republican Derrick Van Orden will win in Wisconsin’s 3rd District, CNN projects. 

 

4:31 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

CNN Projection: Democrat Rep. Annie Kuster will win reelection in New Hampshire’s 2nd District 

From CNN staff  

Democrat Rep. Annie Kuster will win reelection in New Hampshire’s 2nd District, CNN projects, and defeat Republican Robert Burns.  

 

4:30 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

CNN Projection: Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks will win in Iowa’s 1st District  

From CNN staff  

Miller-Meeks speaks to supporters on Tuesday, November 8, in Davenport, Iowa.
Miller-Meeks speaks to supporters on Tuesday, November 8, in Davenport, Iowa. (Nikos Frazier/Quad City Times/AP)

Republican Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks will win in Iowa’s 1st District, CNN projects.  

 

4:06 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

CNN Projection: Democrat Jocelyn Benson will win second term as Michigan secretary of state 

From CNN’s Fredreka Schouten 

Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson waves to supporters during an Election Night party in Detroit on Tuesday, November 8.
Michigan Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson waves to supporters during an Election Night party in Detroit on Tuesday, November 8. (Carlos Osorio/AP)

Michigan Secretary of State Joycelyn Benson – who emerged as a leading national voice countering election denial following the 2020 election – will win a second term, CNN projects. 

Benson defeated a challenge from Republican Kristina Karamo, who made false claims about the 2020 election and had been endorsed by former President Donald Trump. 

 

4:14 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

CNN Projection: Democrat Josh Green will win Hawaii governor’s race  

From CNN staff  

Green waves at supporters at the Democratic Party headquarters, Tuesday, November. 8, in Honolulu.
Green waves at supporters at the Democratic Party headquarters, Tuesday, November. 8, in Honolulu. (AMarco Garcia/AP)

Democrat Josh Green will win the Hawaii governor’s race, CNN projects, and defeat Republican Duke Aiona. 

 

3:32 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

CNN Projection: Democrat Rep. Elissa Slotkin will win in Michigan’s 7th District  

From CNN staff

Slotkin addresses supporters at her election night watch party on November 8, in East Lansing, Michigan.
Slotkin addresses supporters at her election night watch party on November 8, in East Lansing, Michigan. (Sarah Rice/Getty Images)

Democrat Rep. Elissa Slotkin will win in Michigan’s 7th District, CNN projects.  

 

3:11 a.m. ET, November 9, 2022

As results continue to come in, here's a reminder of how CNN makes projections 

From CNN’s From CNN's Zachary B. Wolf and Ethan Cohen

As results continue to come in tonight, CNN will make projections on key races that will define which party will control each chamber Congress.  

Here's what you need to know about how CNN makes projections: 

What is a CNN “key race”? Who decides that? “Key race” is a subjective term. Most politics watchers generally agree that only a subset of races is truly competitive in November, and these are generally considered the key races. Political parties spend more money on these races. Reporters spend more time covering them.  

Of the 35 Senate races on the ballot in 2022, the election forecasters at Inside Elections considered three to be true toss-ups and another four to tilt toward either Republicans or Democrats.  

Nineteen House races are true toss-ups, although many more could wind up being closely contested. Five governor races are toss-ups.  See the Inside Elections ratings for SenateHouse and governor.  

Key races can also be races that might be less competitive but have broader implications or feature especially notable candidates.  

What factors help CNN make projections? Using a mix of many factors, including current and previous election results, real-time exit polling, recent opinion polls, voter registration data and more, CNN’s decision desk is frequently able to reliably project that a candidate has received enough support to win. It is a projection, however, and not the final word. State officials and courts have the official say.  

Can CNN project a race without any votes in? This is a task CNN takes very seriously. Based on previous election results, exit polling, recent opinion polls, early voter turnout and other factors, it is sometimes possible to see that one particular candidate will win a race. If there is any chance of an upset, CNN will refrain from projecting a race.