For the second consecutive week, an ensemble forecast from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicts that new daily Covid-19 hospitalizations will likely decrease over the next four weeks.
Last week’s forecast, published Sept. 15, predicted hospitalizations would decrease for the first time since the June 23 forecast.
This week’s forecast predicts that there will be 4,600 to 11,800 new confirmed Covid-19 hospital admissions likely reported on Oct. 18.
According to data from the US Department of Health and Human Services, there were 89,266 people hospitalized with Covid-19 as of Sept. 21.
The new deaths forecast predicts that deaths will have a stable or uncertain trend over the next four weeks, with a total of 709,000 to 736,000 Covid-19 deaths reported by Oct. 16.
The previous weeks forecast predicted up to 719,000 deaths by Oct. 9
According to data from Johns Hopkins University, there have been 678,522 Covid-19 deaths in the United States.
The cases forecast predicts 360,000 to 1,290,000 new cases likely reported in the week ending October 16.
The agency did not forecast whether cases would increase in the next four weeks, something which has not been included since July 28.
“Case forecasts were not assessed for likely increases or decreases because more reported cases than expected have fallen outside the forecast prediction intervals,” the forecast said.