An ensemble forecast published by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention now projects nearly 195,000 coronavirus deaths in the United States by Sept. 12.
The new projections, published Friday, forecast 194,778 deaths by Sept. 12, with a possible range of 187,373 to 204,684 deaths.
“State- and territory-level ensemble forecasts predict that the number of reported new deaths per week will likely increase over the next four weeks in Minnesota and may decrease in 13 jurisdictions. Those with the greatest likelihood of a decrease over the next four weeks include Arizona, Florida, Mississippi, and South Carolina,” the CDC says on its forecasting website.
Unlike some individual models, the CDC’s ensemble forecast only offers projections about a month into the future. The previous ensemble forecast, published Aug. 13, projected roughly 189,000 coronavirus deaths in the United States by Sept. 5.
At least 174,255 people have already died from Covid-19 in the United States, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.