The US may have to keep social distancing measures — such as stay-at-home orders and school closures — in effect until 2022, unless a vaccine becomes available quickly, researchers projected today.
Their findings, published in the journal Science, directly contradict research being touted by the White House that suggests the pandemic may stop this summer.
Instead, the team at the Harvard School of Public Health, used what’s known about Covid-19 and other coronaviruses to create possible scenarios of the current pandemic.
“Intermittent distancing may be required into 2022 unless critical care capacity is increased substantially or a treatment or vaccine becomes available,” they wrote in their report.
One important factor: Whether people become immune to the new coronavirus after they have been infected. That’s not yet known.