Following a week of predicted increases, an ensemble forecast published Wednesday by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention predicts that new Covid-19 deaths in the US will have a stable or uncertain trend over the next four weeks.
The CDC forecasts also include caution about the Omicron variant for the first time, with all three saying: “Current forecasts may not fully account for the emergence and rapid spread of the Omicron variant and should be interpreted with caution.”
The latest forecast predicts that there will be a total of 838,000 to 844,000 Covid-19 deaths reported in the US by Jan. 15, 2022.
According to data from Johns Hopkins University, there have been 810,164 Covid-19 deaths in the United States.
For the fifth straight week, hospitalizations are predicted to increase, with 5,400 to 27,500 new confirmed hospital admissions likely reported on Jan. 14.
According to US Department of Health and Human Services data, there were 69,037 people hospitalized with Covid-19 on December 21.
The forecast for cases did not predict an increase or decrease.
“More reported cases than expected have fallen outside the forecast prediction intervals for 3- and 4-week ahead case forecasts. Case forecasts at those horizons and assessments of likely increases or decreases will not be shown until sustained improvements in performance are observed,” the CDC said.